NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	8.6 [136]		MVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): +36.8%
Phoenix Suns	102		Comeback	18.7 [28]		LVP	Jiri Welsch (BOS): -22.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.37	0.08	0.29	0.00	9	70%	0.37	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike James	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.24	0.01	0.25	0.01	7	62%	0.28	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0.19	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.05	0.02	11	87%	0.21	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	7	70%	0.12	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Chris Mihm	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	5	71%	0.05	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.04
Paul Pierce	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	15	67%	0.20	8	-0.29	10	60%	-0.04
Vin Baker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.13,-0.22	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	8	28%	-0.10	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.22	0.22	-0.00	0.23	0.01	10	67%	0.33	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	80%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	13	49%	0.01	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.06
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	0.00	7	60%	-0.03	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.06
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	14	33%	-0.10	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.17	-0.01	25	50%	-0.12	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	29.1	0.2	27.2	1.8	39.0	123.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +100.4%

PHX -11.3%

PHX -23.9%

PHX -20.1%

BOS +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	13.2	15.8	15.7	105.1	102.0	100.5
season	14.4	14.6		99.5	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.9		103.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.8	14.0	12.2	13.6	13.2
PHX	17.2	14.3	17.8	14.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Banks	44	47	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-10	22	12.8	13.5	-0.61	16.5	15.1	1.35
Walter McCarty	88	89	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-3	8	13.1	14.1	-1.02	15.4	18.3	-2.83
Paul Pierce	89	92	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.51	1	1	0	12.9	15.3	-2.36	15.6	17.9	-2.31
Chris Mihm	19	20	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-14	30	10.8	13.7	-2.96	19.6	14.8	4.87
Ricky Davis	43	43	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	-13	28	12.3	13.9	-1.55	18.0	14.1	3.87
Mark Blount	52	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	4	-6	13.6	12.7	0.83	15.1	16.5	-1.36
Jiri Welsch	69	67	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.52	-14	16	-30	14.0	11.3	2.65	14.7	17.9	-3.22
Jumaine Jones	11	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	5	-8	14.1	13.1	1.02	18.3	15.4	2.83
Mike James	53	52	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	11	-20	13.5	12.8	0.71	14.7	16.9	-2.16
Vin Baker	27	27	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.09	-11	13	-24	14.1	12.8	1.33	14.6	16.2	-1.53

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	12	13	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.07	9	-11	20	12.7	16.2	-3.41	16.4	12.7	3.69
Scott Williams	47	46	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.16	3	-5	8	16.3	15.3	1.03	12.9	13.4	-0.54
Anfernee Hardaway	57	56	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-1	0	16.4	14.8	1.60	13.4	13.0	0.40
Donnell Harvey	34	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	2	-6	16.3	15.5	0.78	11.3	14.2	-2.93
Stephon Marbury	88	87	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.44	8	-10	18	14.7	23.5	-8.81	13.4	11.4	2.01
Jake Voskuhl	43	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	6	-14	16.5	15.2	1.34	13.5	12.9	0.55
Shawn Marion	80	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-3	4	15.1	18.1	-3.00	13.9	10.3	3.61
Joe Johnson	82	81	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.48	-6	4	-10	16.0	14.7	1.32	13.1	13.6	-0.46
Casey Jacobsen	57	56	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.33	-12	10	-22	16.5	14.8	1.72	12.2	14.5	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.02,0,0	91.4%
DAL 100, LAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.68,0.76,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	91.2%
DET 81, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.24,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.06,0.04,0	90.5%