inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 75 Excitement3.5 [1114] MVPTayshaun Prince (DET): +13.3%
Detroit Pistons 96 Comeback1.2 [1031] LVPAndrei Kirilenko (UTA): -10.1%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo0.000,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01865%0.053-0.051100%0.01
Jarron Collins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.07357%0.022-0.01850%-0.00
Matt Harpring-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.01560%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Ben Handlogten-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.090.00-0.07437%0.011-0.02850%-0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00760%0.043-0.071100%-0.00
Raul Lopez-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.01-0.04650%0.014-0.07250%-0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.00850%-0.012-0.05250%-0.02
Raja Bell-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.0350%-0.071-0.0100%0.00
Mo Williams-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.020.01742%-0.061-0.03580%-0.00
Andrei Kirilenko-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.02653%-0.025-0.08580%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.110.040.01982%0.151-0.02475%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.011176%0.134-0.073100%0.01
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.00-0.01280%0.032-0.026100%0.03
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03160%0.0010.00333%0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.12-0.000.121086%0.022-0.022100%-0.00
Zeljko Rebraca0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03312%-0.0300.00250%0.00
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01540%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.02450%-0.033-0.02250%-0.01
Richard Hamilton0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.010.011346%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.04932%-0.052-0.02425%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.61.528.316.527.82.034.0131.7
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +21.4%
DET +2.9%
DET +8.4%
DET +15.8%
DET +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADETNBAUTADETNBA
this game16.515.215.783.3104.3100.5
season17.216.299.499.2
opponent16.015.292.6100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA18.317.015.615.216.5
DET15.314.317.114.215.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarron Collins4041-0.02-0.480.470.07-3-181516.516.40.0814.116.1-1.96
Ben Handlogten3536-0.11-0.390.290.13-8-13516.116.7-0.5514.215.8-1.58
Raul Lopez5052-0.13-0.370.230.04-6-15916.017.0-1.0314.016.7-2.77
Mo Williams3434-0.18-0.320.14-0.00-6-15915.017.4-2.3813.416.2-2.77
Raja Bell3738-0.21-0.290.080.12-11-10-117.116.10.9813.516.4-2.83
Sasha Pavlovic3840-0.22-0.280.050.07-10-11116.216.7-0.4613.716.3-2.63
Matt Harpring3737-0.28-0.22-0.050.02-10-11117.515.81.7617.313.83.49
DeShawn Stevenson5253-0.29-0.21-0.080.03-11-10-116.316.7-0.4516.313.72.64
Andrei Kirilenko4749-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.04-10-11116.416.6-0.1516.413.72.70
Carlos Arroyo4040-0.37-0.13-0.230.07-15-6-917.016.01.0316.714.02.77
Greg Ostertag4040-0.37-0.13-0.230.07-15-6-917.116.01.0716.714.02.77

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Wallace71690.56-0.060.62-0.0822-12315.613.71.9716.815.41.43
Richard Hamilton67660.51-0.010.52-0.051921715.514.21.3016.915.31.56
Mehmet Okur52490.420.080.34-0.051651115.514.70.7716.017.1-1.09
Chauncey Billups63620.420.080.33-0.051651115.714.11.6316.516.40.12
Tayshaun Prince50490.380.120.26-0.151831516.213.92.3116.516.50.03
Chucky Atkins48470.100.40-0.31-0.11714-713.716.8-3.0915.817.3-1.49
Bob Sura33320.090.41-0.320.03219-1714.215.7-1.5216.216.6-0.45
Corliss Williamson46450.080.42-0.34-0.04417-1314.815.5-0.6716.216.8-0.60
Tremaine Fowlkes16150.030.47-0.44-0.06318-1513.915.5-1.5916.616.50.15
Darko Milicic10110.000.50-0.50-0.06219-1713.615.4-1.7817.416.41.01
Zeljko Rebraca45-0.080.58-0.670.03-425-2914.515.2-0.7219.616.33.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 82, UTA 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
LAC 89, MIL 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
MIL 91, CHI 1100.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%