NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	74		Excitement	3.5 [1106]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): +7.4%
New Jersey Nets	87		Comeback	1.2 [1014]		LVP	Carlos Arroyo (UTA): -15.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raul Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	75%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	11	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Raja Bell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	6	29%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.17	-0.01	-0.09	9	37%	-0.02	4	-0.07	9	56%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	14	38%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.19	-0.01	-0.04	5	0%	-0.08	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	69%	0.10	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damone Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	73%	0.08	5	-0.09	6	67%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	-0.06	11	38%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02	3	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	8	35%	-0.04	4	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.6	30.2	14.6	26.5	1.5	36.5	132.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +26.2%

NJN +10.3%

UTA -0.6%

NJN +12.7%

NJN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NJN	NBA	UTA	NJN	NBA
this game	18.8	12.8	15.7	81.3	95.6	100.5
season	17.2	15.3		99.4	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.2		95.2	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	23.1	17.5	19.8	16.0	18.8
NJN	12.8	13.0	13.9	11.7	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	35	36	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-19	25	17.1	19.9	-2.84	13.1	12.6	0.54
Sasha Pavlovic	25	27	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.17	7	-20	27	19.1	18.7	0.34	13.6	12.5	1.06
Raul Lopez	52	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-13	13	18.5	19.3	-0.83	12.6	13.1	-0.55
Jarron Collins	64	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.21	1	-14	15	16.9	23.3	-6.40	12.6	13.3	-0.74
Mo Williams	22	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-10	7	16.6	19.6	-2.96	10.8	13.4	-2.60
Greg Ostertag	31	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-3	-7	22.3	17.1	5.19	12.9	12.7	0.19
Andrei Kirilenko	74	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	1	-15	19.4	16.4	2.98	13.2	10.8	2.41
Carlos Arroyo	33	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	3	-19	20.1	18.1	2.02	13.7	12.4	1.30
DeShawn Stevenson	49	48	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	3	-19	19.9	17.6	2.30	12.8	12.8	-0.05
Matt Harpring	70	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.01	-20	7	-27	18.9	18.7	0.16	12.5	13.8	-1.36

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	72	75	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.01	20	-7	27	13.1	11.8	1.29	18.8	18.9	-0.05
Kenyon Martin	81	81	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.03	18	-5	23	12.6	14.4	-1.78	19.1	16.3	2.85
Jason Kidd	65	67	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.08	21	-8	29	12.2	14.3	-2.04	18.8	18.9	-0.11
Kerry Kittles	68	67	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-5	23	12.7	13.1	-0.42	19.3	17.5	1.81
Richard Jefferson	37	39	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.10	10	3	7	13.9	12.1	1.86	20.3	17.8	2.49
Lucious Harris	43	44	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	15	-17	14.0	11.7	2.25	18.0	19.6	-1.66
Brian Scalabrine	22	20	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	13	-13	11.4	13.3	-1.85	16.4	19.5	-3.06
Rodney Rogers	47	44	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.22	-7	20	-27	12.8	12.8	-0.01	18.7	19.0	-0.30
Tamar Slay	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	10.2	12.9	-2.68	15.0	19.0	-4.01
Damone Brown	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	10.2	12.9	-2.68	15.0	19.0	-4.01
Robert Pack	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	10.2	12.9	-2.68	15.0	19.0	-4.01
Aaron Williams	8	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	18	-23	14.2	12.7	1.58	23.5	18.5	4.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 112, DEN 125	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
POR 77, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
POR 95, LAC 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.65,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%