NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	9.4 [89]		MVP	Glen Rice (LAC): +68.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	100		Comeback	63.9 [17]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -33.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.14	0.24	-0.07	0.03	26	72%	0.17	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Danny Fortson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	100%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	8	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.21	-0.02	-0.16	0.03	19	50%	-0.08	2	-0.13	4	50%	-0.10
Steve Nash	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.13,-0.13,-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.01	12	22%	-0.25	2	-0.09	3	33%	-0.20

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.69	0.69	-0.03	0.72	-0.00	9	33%	0.69	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.09	0.02	11	75%	0.20	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.12
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.05,0.05,-0.13	-0.13	0.12	-0.22	0.03	19	68%	0.01	2	-0.14	6	100%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	6	36%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	10	35%	-0.10	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.16	-0.02	5	40%	-0.17	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.3	-0.30	-0.05	-0.26	-0.01	10	64%	-0.18	5	-0.12	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	28.6	14.8	26.3	1.7	35.2	131.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +40.3%

LAC +13.6%

LAC +9.5%

DAL -15.4%

LAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.0	16.2	15.7	106.5	108.7	100.5
season	14.6	15.5		109.2	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.4	14.8	15.1	17.9	15.0
LAC	17.6	14.6	16.2	16.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	38	39	0.44	-0.94	1.38	-0.20	22	-23	45	14.1	15.5	-1.44	16.9	15.7	1.19
Tony Delk	15	15	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.14	3	-4	7	15.3	14.9	0.37	17.2	16.0	1.21
Travis Best	13	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.17	-7	6	-13	14.2	15.1	-0.84	14.7	16.4	-1.74
Josh Howard	16	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.22	-11	10	-21	15.6	14.8	0.73	13.4	16.7	-3.33
Antawn Jamison	56	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.27	-14	13	-27	15.3	14.4	0.96	15.9	16.7	-0.82
Shawn Bradley	10	9	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	7	-15	13.6	15.1	-1.52	17.1	16.1	1.03
Dirk Nowitzki	52	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.67	8	-9	17	15.4	14.4	1.01	16.2	16.2	0.01
Antoine Walker	84	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.53	2	-3	5	15.0	14.9	0.08	16.4	14.1	2.30
Michael Finley	93	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	15.0	0.0	14.96	16.2	0.0	16.18
Eduardo Najera	23	22	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.47	-2	1	-3	14.6	15.1	-0.52	16.5	16.1	0.35
Steve Nash	65	64	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.78	3	-4	7	15.0	14.8	0.25	16.2	16.0	0.21

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	39	39	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.34	17	-16	33	15.9	16.4	-0.45	14.5	15.3	-0.81
Quentin Richardson	64	64	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.74	-4	5	-9	16.1	16.4	-0.35	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Corey Maggette	73	74	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.53	-2	3	-5	16.3	15.7	0.56	14.9	15.3	-0.45
Elton Brand	73	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.67	-8	9	-17	16.8	13.9	2.89	15.2	14.2	0.90
Marko Jaric	49	51	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.66	-14	15	-29	16.5	15.9	0.61	14.9	15.0	-0.08
Chris Wilcox	62	64	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.27	16	-15	31	15.2	18.2	-2.94	15.8	13.1	2.74
Keyon Dooling	35	35	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.16	9	-8	17	15.6	16.6	-0.99	15.2	14.8	0.44
Predrag Drobnjak	10	11	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.16	6	-5	11	14.9	16.3	-1.44	14.2	15.1	-0.88
Bobby Simmons	9	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	-1	3	17.8	16.0	1.77	12.8	15.2	-2.42
Doug Overton	26	26	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.20	3	-2	5	16.6	16.0	0.60	16.0	14.6	1.39
Chris Kaman	20	18	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.28	-20	21	-41	17.1	15.9	1.23	13.1	15.4	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.37,0.24,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 87, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.11,0.28,0.57,0.58,1	90.2%
SAS 74, PHX 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.36,0.43,0.58,1	89.8%
POR 94, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.12,0.17,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.74,1	89.7%