NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	92		Excitement	5.1 [804]		MVP	Calbert Cheaney (GSW): +14.5%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	2.5 [712]		LVP	Frank Williams (NYK): -7.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	11	68%	0.18	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	73%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Charlie Ward	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	75%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	11	45%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	6	57%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	66%	0.09	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Frank Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.01	9	78%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	10	68%	0.14	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	1	125%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	69%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	6	85%	0.12	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	11	39%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	17	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	582.3	2.3	22.4	14.8	-694.9	2.6	25.3	-45.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +8.0%

GSW +12.3%

GSW +13.1%

GSW +18.5%

NYK -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	GSW	NBA	NYK	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.7	100.0	114.3	100.5
season	15.5	16.1		98.6	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.8		101.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.9	17.5	15.7	16.3	15.5
GSW	16.5	14.6	15.6	17.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	6	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-8	4	18.2	15.3	2.85	17.8	15.9	1.93
Charlie Ward	34	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-8	4	16.4	15.0	1.40	15.9	16.0	-0.16
Frank Williams	17	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-7	2	17.8	15.0	2.85	15.0	16.2	-1.20
Clar. Weatherspoon	36	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-11	10	16.6	14.8	1.87	15.5	16.2	-0.71
Antonio McDyess	45	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-4	-4	15.1	15.9	-0.76	15.4	16.5	-1.10
Kurt Thomas	52	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-4	-4	14.8	16.3	-1.50	16.5	15.2	1.32
Dikembe Mutombo	41	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-5	-2	15.3	15.7	-0.37	16.1	15.9	0.26
Howard Eisley	59	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-3	-6	14.9	16.5	-1.63	16.3	15.3	0.98
Keith Van Horn	80	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-8	4	15.3	16.7	-1.44	15.8	17.3	-1.47
Shandon Anderson	90	89	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	-2	-8	15.3	24.0	-8.69	16.1	11.0	5.09

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	69	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	1	10	15.9	16.3	-0.45	15.4	15.8	-0.34
Calbert Cheaney	38	39	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	1	10	16.2	15.8	0.44	16.6	14.7	1.89
Clifford Robinson	61	63	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	3	6	16.4	15.1	1.36	15.4	15.8	-0.43
Nick Van Exel	52	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	3	6	15.9	16.1	-0.17	14.8	16.4	-1.54
Mike Dunleavy	73	74	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	7	-2	16.1	15.4	0.67	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Speedy Claxton	41	41	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	7	-2	15.8	16.1	-0.27	16.8	14.5	2.27
Erick Dampier	50	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	10	-8	15.8	16.2	-0.44	15.4	15.6	-0.13
Mickael Pietrus	16	15	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	5	2	15.6	16.1	-0.43	16.9	15.2	1.63
Jason Richardson	55	56	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	11	-10	15.7	16.4	-0.63	14.6	17.0	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.77,0.71,0.52,0.81,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 98, BKN 109	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.92,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.9%
UTA 111, PHX 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.98,0.98,0.99,1	92.3%
MIL 98, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.82,0.85,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.3%