NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Excitement	10.1 [54]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): +21.3%
Sacramento Kings	109		Comeback	130.6 [3]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -29.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.21	0.12	0.11	0.02	20	76%	0.45	5	-0.24	9	89%	0.03
Ervin Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	29	51%	0.04	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.01	18	65%	0.10	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.07
Keith McLeod	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Gary Trent	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0,0	0.00	0.12	-0.09	0.03	20	66%	0.02	1	-0.02	13	77%	-0.05
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	16	50%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	21%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.13	-0.02	17	47%	-0.02	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	8	33%	-0.08	1	-0.11	2	100%	0.05
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.08	0.00	8	35%	-0.10	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.31,-0.31,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3	-0.30	-0.07	-0.22	0.01	17	39%	-0.26	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	285.7	3.7	31.2	18.4	27.7	3.7	41.1	2.5	11.3	425.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +106.1%

SAC -18.7%

SAC -28.1%

SAC -13.0%

MIN +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	15.1	15.5	15.7	106.7	105.8	100.5
season	15.6	14.7		103.2	106.9
opponent	15.6	16.1		102.0	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	15.3	14.4	14.0	15.6	17.7	15.1
SAC	16.0	16.3	15.4	15.1	13.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	54	50	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.27	12	-9	21	14.0	16.2	-2.20	15.7	15.3	0.40
Kevin Garnett	99	98	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-5	13	15.1	15.0	0.09	15.5	15.6	-0.11
Sam Cassell	90	88	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	15.4	13.1	2.28	15.5	15.4	0.11
Ervin Johnson	53	50	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	1	1	14.8	15.4	-0.63	15.9	15.1	0.75
Latrell Sprewell	87	87	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	3	-3	15.4	13.5	1.91	16.0	13.0	2.95
Gary Trent	48	48	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.09	6	-3	9	15.5	14.8	0.69	15.4	15.6	-0.23
Keith McLeod	18	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	5	-7	13.8	15.4	-1.58	15.6	15.5	0.07
Fred Hoiberg	66	67	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	0.03	-17	20	-37	15.0	15.2	-0.19	14.8	16.9	-2.10

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Peeler	50	50	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.06	12	-15	27	15.3	15.7	-0.46	15.2	15.0	0.26
Tony Massenburg	9	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-3	3	19.3	15.1	4.21	13.6	15.3	-1.62
Bobby Jackson	64	66	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.40	13	-16	29	15.1	16.1	-0.98	15.5	14.3	1.20
Darius Songaila	44	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-6	9	14.9	16.0	-1.10	16.2	14.3	1.94
Vlade Divac	58	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	2	-7	15.3	15.7	-0.42	14.6	15.7	-1.05
Doug Christie	50	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	13	-29	16.4	14.6	1.84	14.7	15.5	-0.81
Brad Miller	95	97	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.45	-4	1	-5	15.5	15.0	0.54	15.0	15.9	-0.85
Mike Bibby	70	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	6	-15	15.1	16.3	-1.23	15.2	14.9	0.26
Peja Stojakovic	75	78	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.59	-9	6	-15	15.7	14.9	0.78	14.8	15.9	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.35,0.54,0.31,0.45,0.78,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 108, PHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.34,0.4,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.27,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.47,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.47,0	88.9%
TOR 128, PHI 123	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.5,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.28,0	87.8%
ORL 89, TOR 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.2,0.28,0.36,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.78,0.42,0	86.8%