NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	86		Excitement	5.2 [769]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +33.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.2 [924]		LVP	Jacque Vaughn (ATL): -12.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	14	46%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	15	62%	0.12	6	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	64%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Travis Hansen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	13	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.02	0.07	13	59%	-0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	3	12%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.21	0.13	0.01	34	66%	0.37	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	4	118%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	11	31%	-0.06	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	4	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	26.0	15.5	24.4	2.4	27.6	120.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +27.8%

PHI +1.5%

PHI +3.0%

PHI +16.1%

PHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.2	16.5	15.7	97.7	111.4	100.5
season	15.3	16.2		98.2	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.5		99.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.7	17.1	19.0	14.5	16.2
PHI	14.7	17.1	15.3	19.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	63	62	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-15	18	16.3	16.1	0.18	17.7	13.5	4.17
Travis Hansen	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	10.3	16.5	-6.13	11.7	16.6	-4.98
Dan Dickau	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	10.3	16.5	-6.13	11.7	16.6	-4.98
Stephen Jackson	67	70	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-14	16	16.1	16.8	-0.73	16.7	15.8	0.88
Dion Glover	67	69	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-13	14	16.7	14.8	1.89	17.1	14.1	3.09
Theo Ratliff	60	61	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.01	-3	-9	6	16.1	16.5	-0.31	16.9	15.6	1.22
Jason Terry	73	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-4	-4	16.2	16.7	-0.50	16.7	15.3	1.46
Nazr Mohammed	28	27	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-3	-6	16.5	16.1	0.31	15.6	16.9	-1.22
Boris Diaw	21	18	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.01	-14	2	-16	16.8	16.1	0.73	15.8	16.7	-0.88
Lee Nailon	25	26	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	3	-18	16.1	16.3	-0.18	13.5	17.7	-4.17
Jacque Vaughn	30	28	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.02	-21	9	-30	16.6	16.1	0.58	15.2	17.1	-1.85

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	35	36	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.06	17	-5	22	17.1	16.1	0.96	17.1	15.7	1.46
Allen Iverson	79	79	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	1	10	16.8	13.4	3.38	16.2	16.9	-0.71
Kenny Thomas	54	54	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	1	10	17.7	14.5	3.27	16.4	16.0	0.46
Marc Jackson	70	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	4	4	17.2	13.8	3.32	16.2	16.5	-0.31
Eric Snow	64	65	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	6	0	16.7	16.0	0.66	16.5	15.5	1.04
Aaron McKie	59	59	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	3	6	16.3	16.8	-0.52	16.1	16.6	-0.55
Samuel Dalembert	18	18	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	8	-4	13.8	17.2	-3.32	16.5	16.2	0.31
Amal McCaskill	32	32	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	10	-8	14.8	17.4	-2.57	16.2	16.3	-0.05
Willie Green	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	11.7	16.6	-4.98	10.3	16.5	-6.13
Kyle Korver	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	11.7	16.6	-4.98	10.3	16.5	-6.13
Greg Buckner	23	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	16	-20	14.9	17.0	-2.12	16.0	16.3	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 78, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.42,0.45,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.5%
LAL 86, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.84,0.93,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.4%
DAL 105, DEN 117	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.62,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%