inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 88 Excitement9.1 [100] MVPGordan Giricek (ORL): +12.5%
Utah Jazz 90 Comeback4.2 [458] LVPMatt Harpring (UTA): -35.3%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gordan Giricek0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.130.010.10-0.02860%0.151-0.02475%-0.01
Juwan Howard0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.01-0.00981%0.201-0.08887%0.03
Reece Gaines-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00125%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Drew Gooden-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.010.011036%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Andrew DeClercq-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.0010%-0.021-0.0500%0.00
Keith Bogans-0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.00425%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Steven Hunter-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00540%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Donnell Harvey-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.02-0.0010%-0.033-0.0800%0.00
Derrick Dial-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.120.02-0.140.00362%-0.1200.002100%0.01
Tyronn Lue-0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2-0.06-0.14-0.001029%-0.2000.0010%-0.01
Tracy McGrady-0.250,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.09,-0.02,-0.08,-0.250.00-0.25-0.001858%-0.112-0.141471%-0.05

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.001050%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Raul Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.00527%-0.0200.001100%0.01
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.01-0.00433%-0.011-0.021100%0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.001544%-0.0600.00667%-0.02
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.01729%-0.061-0.0100%0.00
Curtis Borchardt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.060.00430%-0.081-0.05250%-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.15-0.15-0.02-0.120.011954%0.043-0.20887%0.06
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.07-0.130.01845%-0.172-0.04667%-0.05
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.35,-0.35-0.35-0.13-0.220.001438%-0.232-0.12989%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.01.831.014.828.22.435.4137.4
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL -30.3%
UTA +21.2%
UTA +62.1%
ORL -2.4%
ORL -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLUTANBAORLUTANBA
this game14.818.115.7101.1102.3100.5
season15.717.2100.999.4
opponent15.215.4100.8108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.814.615.214.614.8
UTA19.518.816.717.518.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reece Gaines31320.22-0.720.95-0.049-112013.815.3-1.5319.117.51.56
Andrew DeClercq14130.15-0.650.810.044-61015.514.70.8419.617.81.78
Donnell Harvey1718-0.05-0.450.39-0.02-1-1013.615.1-1.4220.117.62.53
Derrick Dial2325-0.07-0.430.36-0.277-91614.814.80.0419.317.61.70
Gordan Giricek6362-0.16-0.340.18-0.408-101814.415.9-1.5519.215.53.75
Keith Bogans2224-0.18-0.320.140.05-86-1415.814.51.3115.219.2-4.04
Drew Gooden5151-0.22-0.280.06-0.19-1-1015.513.71.7818.118.10.04
Steven Hunter4039-0.22-0.280.06-0.07-53-815.414.31.0818.218.10.09
Juwan Howard5254-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.43-1-1014.015.9-1.9217.419.3-1.94
Tyronn Lue5656-0.720.22-0.95-0.40-119-2015.313.81.5317.519.1-1.56
Tracy McGrady6666-0.790.29-1.08-0.47-119-2014.715.1-0.4017.420.2-2.83

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Ostertag66650.86-0.361.210.4813-112417.918.7-0.7715.413.02.34
Andrei Kirilenko66670.85-0.351.190.4912-102217.719.3-1.6214.914.50.32
Carlos Arroyo68670.78-0.281.060.3714-122617.420.4-3.0415.113.81.29
Matt Harpring72740.71-0.210.920.488-61417.919.2-1.3314.913.91.02
Raja Bell38380.260.240.030.53-911-2019.217.31.9514.714.9-0.19
DeShawn Stevenson54520.210.29-0.07-0.1111-92016.720.4-3.6715.214.21.04
Sasha Pavlovic87-0.100.60-0.690.02-46-1026.017.38.6913.914.9-1.02
Raul Lopez2020-0.280.78-1.060.07-1214-2620.417.43.0413.815.1-1.29
Curtis Borchardt2927-0.330.83-1.16-0.07-911-2018.018.1-0.1013.515.4-1.90
Jarron Collins1918-0.470.96-1.43-0.05-1416-3019.717.72.0213.115.2-2.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.78,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 95, WAS 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.84,0.63,191.5%
CLE 78, MEM 840.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.77,0.91,191.3%
SEA 93, MIL 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.74,191.1%