NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	100		Excitement	7.7 [272]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +48.2%
Phoenix Suns	91		Comeback	2.6 [238]		LVP	Corliss Williamson (DET): -16.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.48	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.3,0.48,0.48	0.13	0.35	0.00	13	75%	0.53	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09	0.04	0.07	0.02	20	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	6	65%	0.02	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Bob Sura	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Elden Campbell	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Mehmet Okur	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	8	43%	-0.07	2	-0.05	5	60%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	12	33%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	8	50%	-0.02	3	-0.14	6	83%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.03	11	61%	0.18	1	-0.06	6	83%	0.03
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.05
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	70%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	21	45%	0.01	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	20	42%	-0.01	5	-0.13	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	34.0	14.8	22.2	2.6	34.0	137.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +15.9%

DET +10.5%

PHX -1.2%

DET +25.2%

PHX -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHX	NBA	DET	PHX	NBA
this game	17.0	14.2	15.7	108.7	97.8	100.5
season	16.2	14.6		99.2	99.6
opponent	15.9	16.0		103.6	92.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.0	16.8	19.0	15.2	17.0
PHX	14.3	16.7	12.3	13.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	46	47	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.19	13	-4	17	18.3	15.7	2.61	13.6	14.7	-1.12
Chauncey Billups	72	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	1	7	17.5	15.1	2.40	14.5	12.9	1.56
Ben Wallace	79	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	1	7	16.8	18.2	-1.46	14.2	13.7	0.56
Lindsey Hunter	40	42	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	-6	21	14.0	19.2	-5.22	14.9	13.6	1.25
Richard Hamilton	66	66	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.24	4	5	-1	17.2	16.3	0.88	13.5	15.9	-2.47
Tayshaun Prince	72	71	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.24	2	7	-5	17.3	15.7	1.57	13.4	16.7	-3.35
Corliss Williamson	35	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	3	3	16.4	17.3	-0.89	15.6	13.4	2.23
Bob Sura	31	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.09	2	7	-5	16.1	17.4	-1.33	14.7	13.9	0.83
Elden Campbell	19	20	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.13	-13	22	-35	19.2	16.4	2.81	14.4	14.1	0.29

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	35	36	0.50	-1.00	1.51	-0.05	19	-28	47	12.9	14.9	-2.06	19.5	15.4	4.14
Casey Jacobsen	26	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.19	-8	-1	-7	13.2	14.6	-1.41	13.4	18.5	-5.11
Joe Johnson	61	64	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.24	6	-15	21	13.9	14.7	-0.83	18.1	14.4	3.67
Amar'e Stoudemire	78	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-11	13	14.6	11.9	2.67	17.1	16.6	0.45
Leandro Barbosa	26	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-3	-3	15.0	13.8	1.20	16.9	17.0	-0.13
Stephon Marbury	81	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-1	-7	13.8	16.8	-3.06	16.9	17.5	-0.60
Anfernee Hardaway	31	28	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	8	-25	15.0	13.7	1.29	15.8	17.5	-1.66
Shawn Marion	80	79	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.34	-10	1	-11	14.2	13.8	0.47	17.1	16.5	0.51
Jake Voskuhl	47	44	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.19	-23	14	-37	14.9	13.5	1.42	16.2	17.7	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.32,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.45,0.31,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 101, OKC 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.64,0.45,0.26,0	90.4%
CLE 107, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.67,0.78,0.47,0.55,0.33,0.02,0	90.2%
NOP 95, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.42,0	89.8%