inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 101 Excitement10.3 [48] MVPJason Williams (MEM): +24.1%
Memphis Grizzlies 108 Comeback7.4 [237] LVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): -35.9%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eduardo Najera0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.080.13-0.00683%0.2200.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11-0.100.220.001837%0.131-0.01520%-0.13
Danny Fortson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.00350%-0.0000.002100%0.03
Michael Finley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.040.04-0.08-0.011756%0.172-0.2100%0.00
Josh Howard-0.040,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00742%-0.0400.00540%-0.03
Antawn Jamison-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.090.03-0.011527%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Travis Best-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.01-0.00420%-0.0700.002100%0.01
Steve Nash-0.230,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.15-0.16-0.081352%-0.098-0.155100%0.03
Dirk Nowitzki-0.360,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28,-0.31,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36-0.12-0.230.011453%-0.136-0.23862%-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.240.240.100.160.011467%0.291-0.052100%0.01
Mike Miller0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.160.160.020.150.011654%0.1600.00978%0.04
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.01952%0.0400.00367%-0.02
Pau Gasol0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.060.03-0.061745%0.082-0.05475%-0.02
Jake Tsakalidis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00262%0.0100.00475%0.00
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.011040%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Stromile Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.02-0.08-0.00460%-0.0600.002100%0.02
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.05-0.090.00955%-0.053-0.09450%-0.04
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.13-0.04-0.01536%-0.054-0.12425%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.82.529.315.628.22.433.00.316.2153.4
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.82.017.4150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +18.5%
MEM +12.0%
MEM +1.2%
MEM +21.5%
DAL -3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMEMNBADALMEMNBA
this game15.714.215.796.2100.0100.5
season14.615.3109.2102.3
opponent15.715.6100.5105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DAL15.013.914.320.415.215.7
MEM12.718.012.413.914.814.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antawn Jamison54580.54-1.041.580.337-142116.414.91.5614.114.3-0.23
Travis Best25270.22-0.720.930.046-131918.614.83.8814.114.2-0.06
Josh Howard28280.08-0.580.660.022-91114.416.2-1.7615.013.91.14
Eduardo Najera26260.05-0.550.60-0.136-131914.016.2-2.1917.413.24.25
Danny Fortson1113-0.22-0.280.070.11-114-1517.615.52.1812.914.4-1.45
Antoine Walker9093-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.16-6-1-515.218.5-3.3213.717.3-3.57
Michael Finley9294-0.680.18-0.87-0.27-147-2116.112.53.6813.717.6-3.88
Dirk Nowitzki7879-0.690.19-0.88-0.51-6-1-514.917.8-2.8715.311.14.23
Steve Nash8081-0.720.22-0.93-0.34-136-1914.818.6-3.8814.214.10.06
Shawn Bradley4141-0.750.25-0.99-0.57-6-1-517.514.53.0012.215.4-3.18

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Williams74720.64-0.140.780.389-21114.413.60.8014.917.4-2.49
Pau Gasol76740.60-0.100.700.4552314.513.60.9015.316.6-1.36
Mike Miller76740.60-0.100.700.4552314.513.60.9015.316.6-1.36
James Posey58560.230.27-0.050.1725-314.414.00.4015.416.0-0.67
Bo Outlaw42410.170.33-0.16-0.0470714.114.3-0.2016.615.11.48
Jake Tsakalidis34330.150.35-0.200.0052312.614.9-2.3015.215.9-0.73
Wesley Person3231-0.100.60-0.70-0.1625-313.614.5-0.9016.615.31.36
Earl Watson3433-0.140.64-0.78-0.08-29-1113.614.4-0.8017.414.92.49
Stromile Swift1211-0.150.65-0.79-0.03-411-1518.213.74.4712.516.1-3.51
Shane Battier4039-0.230.73-0.95-0.17-29-1113.814.4-0.6716.315.30.91
Lorenzen Wright4241-0.270.77-1.04-0.09-613-1913.814.4-0.5916.914.91.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.73,0.46,0.75,0.9,0.85,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 119, TOR 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.58,189.3%
CHI 104, BOS 1060.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.42,0.46,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.58,188.3%
MIL 101, NYK 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.32,0.09,0.54,0.61,0.9,0.78,0.98,187.6%