NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	89		Excitement	6.5 [491]		MVP	Raul Lopez (UTA): +10.5%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	2.0 [742]		LVP	Lorenzen Wright (MEM): -16.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0.07	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.03	-0.03	12	58%	0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Bo Outlaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	11	64%	0.05	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Theron Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	54%	-0.04	2	-0.04	8	37%	-0.09
James Posey	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	15	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Earl Watson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	9	22%	-0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.07	0.01	9	60%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.07	-0.02	11	41%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	17	60%	0.10	6	-0.15	8	100%	0.05
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	11	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	7	47%	-0.05	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.0	27.5	15.0	27.0	1.6	31.4	129.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +2.1%

UTA +11.2%

UTA +24.8%

UTA +11.2%

UTA +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	16.7	15.7	98.9	106.7	100.5
season	15.3	17.2		102.3	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.7		100.8	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.6	14.7	14.6	15.4	15.3
UTA	14.7	18.0	16.0	18.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	59	59	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.27	20	-27	47	14.2	17.5	-3.28	17.6	14.9	2.69
James Posey	71	70	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.21	11	-18	29	15.1	16.1	-1.02	16.9	16.0	0.84
Mike Miller	58	58	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.23	11	-18	29	14.8	16.2	-1.38	18.1	14.2	3.95
Jason Williams	72	71	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.34	9	-16	25	14.7	17.7	-2.96	17.5	13.5	4.02
Stromile Swift	41	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-9	11	15.2	15.3	-0.10	18.3	15.3	3.02
Lorenzen Wright	49	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	2	-11	15.3	15.2	0.10	15.3	18.3	-3.02
Earl Watson	18	19	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	9	-25	17.7	14.7	2.96	13.5	17.5	-4.02
Wesley Person	32	32	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.06	-18	11	-29	16.2	14.8	1.38	14.2	18.1	-3.95
Theron Smith	19	20	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.09	-18	11	-29	16.1	15.1	1.02	16.0	16.9	-0.84
Bo Outlaw	31	31	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.02	-27	20	-47	17.5	14.2	3.28	14.9	17.6	-2.69

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Curtis Borchardt	33	33	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.13	22	-15	37	15.4	17.5	-2.11	17.8	13.8	4.02
Raja Bell	48	48	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.25	16	-9	25	15.7	17.9	-2.21	16.2	14.2	1.99
Jarron Collins	40	39	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.21	14	-7	21	16.1	17.2	-1.04	16.9	14.1	2.86
Raul Lopez	42	42	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	3	1	17.9	15.6	2.30	14.8	15.8	-1.01
Andrei Kirilenko	72	74	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	8	-9	17.1	14.9	2.19	15.1	16.1	-1.00
DeShawn Stevenson	67	65	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	7	-7	16.7	16.8	-0.17	14.9	16.4	-1.58
Carlos Arroyo	48	48	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	4	-1	15.6	17.9	-2.30	15.8	14.8	1.01
Sasha Pavlovic	4	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	11	-15	12.5	16.9	-4.40	13.8	15.4	-1.59
Matt Harpring	43	44	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	15	-23	18.5	15.0	3.47	13.7	16.8	-3.17
Greg Ostertag	53	52	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.14	-11	18	-29	17.2	16.0	1.23	13.9	17.2	-3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.66,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.92,1	93.2%
MIL 89, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.6,0.62,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.1%
ATL 107, NYK 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.7,0.79,0.62,0.77,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.91,1	92.9%