inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 104 Excitement2.2 [1242] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +7.9%
Los Angeles Lakers 126 Comeback1.1 [1274] LVPRodney White (DEN): -7.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Camby0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.011453%0.0200.00475%-0.01
Adam Harrington0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Junior Harrington-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.041438%-0.021-0.001100%0.00
Nene-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.01650%-0.011-0.02250%-0.00
Vincent Yarbrough-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.011137%-0.0300.00250%-0.00
Chris Andersen-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02560%-0.014-0.0300%0.00
Shammond Williams-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.010.000.061162%-0.003-0.04250%0.00
Jeff Trepagnier-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.02545%0.003-0.051100%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.070,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.000.021354%-0.053-0.02978%-0.00
Rodney White-0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.100.00-0.03942%-0.063-0.026100%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.000.021670%0.092-0.011493%0.01
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.000.02779%0.0800.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.090.000.061090%0.064-0.0300%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03550%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01870%0.032-0.021145%-0.01
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01375%0.022-0.022100%0.01
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02275%0.0020.0000%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.03667%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.110.00-0.11839%0.004-0.01250%-0.01
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04425%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.090.00-0.041030%-0.042-0.0100%0.00
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.02841%-0.051-0.01683%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.12.526.417.431.32.325.6135.7
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +37.6%
LAL +3.4%
LAL +2.8%
LAL +6.4%
DEN -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLALNBADENLALNBA
this game13.013.315.595.4114.5101.6
season15.715.490.4105.0
opponent15.115.3102.899.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.013.111.912.213.0
LAL12.114.113.913.013.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Adam Harrington3131-0.01-0.490.48-0.165-273210.114.2-4.1013.113.4-0.29
Chris Andersen4142-0.05-0.450.39-0.329-314012.113.6-1.4913.613.10.52
Junior Harrington1920-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-222213.812.90.9215.312.82.48
Nene3233-0.15-0.350.19-0.04-4-181412.713.2-0.4813.213.3-0.09
Jeff Trepagnier3738-0.20-0.300.10-0.200-222213.412.80.6113.713.10.63
Nikoloz Tskitishvili7981-0.23-0.270.05-0.14-3-191613.113.00.0813.811.91.82
Vincent Yarbrough5251-0.30-0.20-0.100.43-253-2813.212.90.2812.713.7-1.02
Rodney White4545-0.31-0.19-0.110.28-20-2-1813.212.90.2912.413.9-1.48
Juwan Howard6766-0.38-0.12-0.250.39-264-3012.713.6-0.9613.013.7-0.76
Marcus Camby7071-0.38-0.12-0.260.38-264-3014.111.13.0413.912.11.77
Shammond Williams7272-0.40-0.10-0.310.18-20-2-1813.611.91.7212.514.8-2.32

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant59600.370.130.25-0.212021812.813.8-0.9213.212.80.49
Mark Madsen46470.340.160.17-0.4025-32813.013.5-0.4313.712.51.15
Shaquille O'Neal54550.330.170.15-0.262021813.013.5-0.5013.412.60.75
Derek Fisher48480.270.230.05-0.191661013.213.3-0.0813.412.80.58
Rick Fox41410.270.230.05-0.231751213.113.4-0.3214.312.32.03
Devean George56550.230.27-0.05-0.131210213.812.71.1512.713.4-0.64
Jannero Pargo62610.230.27-0.050.05616-1013.313.20.0812.813.4-0.58
Kareem Rush56540.170.33-0.150.11220-1813.513.00.5012.613.4-0.75
Robert Horry38370.150.35-0.19-0.02616-1013.213.3-0.1013.113.00.08
Slava Medvedenko28270.070.43-0.350.04121-2012.913.4-0.4610.114.0-3.83
Samaki Walker42400.060.44-0.380.24-628-3413.912.90.9513.412.80.63
Brian Shaw20200.000.50-0.500.26-931-4013.313.30.0312.113.2-1.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 79, UTA 1190.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
SEA 78, SAS 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
GSW 83, HOU 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%