NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	110		Excitement	7.9 [263]		MVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): +43.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Comeback	1.9 [629]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -16.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.43	0.21	0.20	-0.01	10	100%	0.43	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	7	81%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	9	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Long	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	7	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Antoine Walker	-0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.12	-0.01	21	43%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	26	49%	-0.01	4	-0.15	17	59%	-0.10

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.07	-0.02	7	64%	0.27	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.12	-0.02	0.04	12	77%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	18	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.06
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	0.12	-0.19	0.02	25	69%	0.06	5	-0.15	5	100%	0.03
Milt Palacio	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	6	36%	-0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	25.0	16.8	24.0	1.8	33.3	128.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +20.7%

CLE -6.5%

BOS +13.3%

BOS +17.3%

BOS +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	15.5	15.5	118.3	115.2	101.6
season	15.6	15.1		99.3	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.5		104.3	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.9	15.0	14.7	16.1	15.7
CLE	15.8	17.1	16.6	12.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Bremer	70	70	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.54	8	-4	12	15.2	17.0	-1.73	15.2	16.4	-1.22
Eric Williams	66	66	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.45	9	-5	14	15.8	15.2	0.66	15.7	14.8	0.93
Antoine Walker	82	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-3	10	15.7	15.2	0.54	15.7	13.9	1.77
Walter McCarty	72	70	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	-1	6	15.0	17.8	-2.78	15.0	16.9	-1.82
Paul Pierce	87	86	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	1	2	15.4	19.7	-4.29	15.3	17.3	-1.98
Mark Blount	21	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	5	-6	17.8	15.0	2.78	16.9	15.0	1.82
Grant Long	11	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	7	-10	15.2	15.7	-0.54	13.9	15.7	-1.77
Kedrick Brown	33	32	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.07	-4	8	-12	16.0	15.5	0.53	15.3	15.6	-0.30
Bimbo Coles	23	22	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.16	-4	8	-12	17.0	15.2	1.73	16.4	15.2	1.22

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	73	75	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.48	13	-17	30	14.5	19.3	-4.77	15.8	15.2	0.61
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	70	71	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.43	11	-15	26	15.0	17.1	-2.12	15.9	15.0	0.92
DeSagana Diop	5	5	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	2	-8	21.0	15.2	5.84	16.0	15.6	0.36
Smush Parker	28	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	5	-14	15.1	15.6	-0.53	13.4	16.7	-3.21
Chris Mihm	16	15	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	8	-20	18.3	14.9	3.43	16.6	15.5	1.13
Ricky Davis	87	88	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-6	8	15.2	21.0	-5.84	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Darius Miles	54	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.00	-13	9	-22	16.8	13.6	3.19	15.8	15.5	0.29
Milt Palacio	69	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-3	2	16.0	13.8	2.20	16.6	12.9	3.69
Jumaine Jones	58	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.35	-5	1	-6	14.8	16.6	-1.71	14.9	17.0	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.37,0.22,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.26,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.1,0.09,0	91.5%
GSW 92, IND 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.16,0	91.0%
GSW 113, DAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.4,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.4,0.67,0.36,0.23,0.01,0	90.8%