NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	94		Excitement	3.2 [1119]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +37.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	1.9 [1080]		LVP	Rick Fox (LAL): -7.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	57%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	15	53%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	20	52%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	22	49%	0.02	5	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.25	0.05	-0.08	29	72%	0.42	3	-0.05	18	89%	0.04
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	92%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	8	31%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.01	-0.06	20	50%	-0.00	5	-0.06	12	67%	-0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.0	29.0	17.6	26.3	2.4	30.3	132.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.4%

LAL +7.8%

LAL +11.7%

WAS -6.7%

LAL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAL	NBA	WAS	LAL	NBA
this game	16.6	14.8	15.5	102.2	118.7	101.6
season	16.5	15.4		100.9	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		102.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.6	18.0	18.9	14.4	16.6
LAL	15.0	14.7	13.3	16.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juan Dixon	12	11	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-15	16	13.3	17.1	-3.80	14.7	14.8	-0.11
Larry Hughes	5	5	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-9	4	18.4	16.5	1.86	9.8	15.1	-5.32
Bobby Simmons	34	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-13	12	14.4	18.0	-3.63	15.3	14.5	0.75
Brendan Haywood	45	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-12	10	17.5	15.8	1.66	15.2	14.5	0.73
Jahidi White	30	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-7	0	16.5	16.7	-0.26	14.8	14.8	0.03
Christian Laettner	43	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-4	-6	16.4	16.9	-0.46	14.7	15.0	-0.29
Bryon Russell	13	13	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.08	-12	-2	-10	20.6	16.0	4.63	14.8	14.8	0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	67	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	-3	-8	16.2	17.8	-1.54	13.9	17.0	-3.10
Kwame Brown	49	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-10	6	16.9	16.4	0.46	15.0	14.7	0.29
Michael Jordan	75	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-4	-6	17.5	13.1	4.39	15.2	13.2	1.91
Tyronn Lue	87	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-5	-4	16.5	18.4	-1.86	15.1	9.8	5.32

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	80	81	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	-7	28	14.2	19.5	-5.37	16.8	15.6	1.14
Devean George	37	37	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	1	12	15.9	14.1	1.80	17.3	16.2	1.14
Robert Horry	42	42	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	5	4	15.2	14.5	0.72	17.4	16.0	1.32
Derek Fisher	75	76	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	5	4	15.0	13.9	1.15	16.0	19.7	-3.76
Shaquille O'Neal	70	72	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	4	6	15.3	13.4	1.88	16.7	16.6	0.05
Samaki Walker	21	19	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	10	-6	13.4	15.3	-1.88	17.2	16.5	0.72
Jannero Pargo	16	17	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	9	-4	13.9	15.0	-1.15	19.1	16.1	3.04
Mark Madsen	40	40	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.04	4	10	-6	14.9	14.7	0.18	16.6	16.7	-0.12
Rick Fox	50	51	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	13	-12	14.1	15.7	-1.61	16.6	16.7	-0.12
Kareem Rush	24	25	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	20	-26	16.0	14.4	1.60	14.0	17.6	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 98, NJN 120	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
ATL 113, SAC 135	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DEN 80, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%