NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	90		Excitement	5.0 [808]		MVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): +21.0%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	1.4 [972]		LVP	Desmond Mason (MIL): -17.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.05	0.03	17	72%	0.21	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	18	51%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Haislip	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.03	-0.06	13	41%	-0.01	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.06	0.03	17	33%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.07	-0.02	16	70%	0.24	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	16	56%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	9	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	9	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.5	23.3	15.7	27.1	1.8	29.2	123.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.9%

UTA +7.1%

UTA +12.2%

MIL -6.6%

UTA +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	UTA	NBA	MIL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.2	16.9	15.5	103.4	118.4	101.6
season	15.4	16.3		106.3	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.8		101.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.2	16.5	17.7	14.5	16.2
UTA	18.8	15.5	15.7	17.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Haislip	11	11	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-18	23	11.9	16.9	-4.95	18.5	16.6	1.81
Ervin Johnson	24	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	-7	1	16.5	16.1	0.37	15.2	17.4	-2.16
Joel Przybilla	30	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-6	-1	16.4	16.1	0.31	17.1	16.7	0.40
Michael Redd	59	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-10	7	15.9	16.9	-1.03	16.7	17.2	-0.56
Tim Thomas	55	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-9	5	15.6	17.3	-1.76	16.2	17.9	-1.61
Toni Kukoc	45	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-12	11	15.1	17.5	-2.36	17.3	16.4	0.83
Gary Payton	69	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-4	-5	16.7	14.4	2.25	17.7	13.1	4.67
Sam Cassell	36	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-1	-11	16.9	15.7	1.17	16.8	16.9	-0.08
Anthony Mason	44	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-1	-11	17.6	14.8	2.75	17.2	16.6	0.59
Desmond Mason	62	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.06	-16	3	-19	16.6	15.2	1.39	16.3	18.4	-2.09

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	63	62	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-4	21	17.2	16.0	1.15	16.3	16.0	0.32
Greg Ostertag	50	49	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.09	22	-9	31	17.1	16.5	0.63	17.2	15.0	2.23
Karl Malone	62	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	4	5	17.7	14.7	3.02	16.5	15.4	1.12
John Stockton	56	55	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.03	16	-3	19	16.7	17.1	-0.40	16.5	15.8	0.66
Calbert Cheaney	76	77	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	0	13	17.0	16.1	0.90	16.4	15.0	1.39
Andrei Kirilenko	56	55	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	13	-13	16.6	17.5	-0.90	15.1	18.2	-3.20
Mark Jackson	29	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	14	-15	17.4	16.6	0.76	15.8	16.5	-0.66
Carlos Arroyo	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	13.5	17.0	-3.45	16.0	16.2	-0.24
DeShawn Stevenson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	13.5	17.0	-3.45	16.0	16.2	-0.24
Scott Padgett	27	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	17	-21	15.3	17.6	-2.29	15.5	16.5	-0.99
Tony Massenburg	12	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	16	-19	14.5	17.3	-2.75	16.1	16.3	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 77, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DAL 78, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.2%
HOU 81, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%