NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	82		Excitement	5.9 [606]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +21.9%
Phoenix Suns	73		Comeback	1.6 [313]		LVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): -9.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.10	0.02	16	76%	0.27	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.03	-0.05	6	29%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	18	50%	0.07	3	-0.09	10	80%	0.02
Jerome James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Reggie Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	8	30%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	13	35%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	20	52%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	17	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	29.4	15.7	25.1	2.5	25.6	127.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +21.5%

SEA +5.9%

SEA +29.7%

PHX -12.5%

SEA +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHX	NBA	SEA	PHX	NBA
this game	18.3	16.4	15.5	97.6	89.0	101.6
season	16.5	15.0		101.7	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.6		100.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.9	23.1	16.3	17.5	18.3
PHX	15.8	15.6	16.5	17.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	75	74	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.15	18	-9	27	17.3	26.4	-9.14	16.8	12.6	4.17
Rashard Lewis	60	59	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	1	7	18.7	17.3	1.33	16.2	16.9	-0.67
Brent Barry	63	62	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	2	5	18.6	17.2	1.40	16.4	16.5	-0.15
Reggie Evans	53	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-3	15	17.0	20.4	-3.38	15.9	17.3	-1.38
Vladimir Radmanovic	52	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-4	17	17.8	19.1	-1.36	16.5	16.3	0.21
Jerome James	35	34	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	4	1	17.7	18.7	-1.03	17.1	15.9	1.19
Kevin Ollie	53	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.29	-8	17	-25	19.4	16.4	3.06	16.3	16.5	-0.16
Predrag Drobnjak	23	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	13	-17	18.1	18.3	-0.21	16.1	16.5	-0.38
Elden Campbell	6	5	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	15	-21	32.7	17.2	15.49	14.6	16.5	-1.91

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Langhi	34	36	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.24	11	-20	31	17.6	15.5	2.15	20.8	16.4	4.36
Jake Voskuhl	47	48	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.22	10	-19	29	16.1	16.8	-0.67	19.3	16.9	2.44
Jake Tsakalidis	8	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-9	9	15.9	16.4	-0.57	23.6	17.7	5.90
Tom Gugliotta	5	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-3	-3	12.0	16.7	-4.68	15.3	18.5	-3.18
Bo Outlaw	28	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	1	-11	17.4	15.9	1.52	15.9	19.4	-3.53
Joe Johnson	54	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-7	5	16.7	15.7	1.03	19.3	16.4	2.86
Amar'e Stoudemire	36	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-1	-7	16.2	16.5	-0.30	18.1	18.4	-0.27
Anfernee Hardaway	51	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-2	-5	15.0	18.6	-3.63	19.1	16.7	2.41
Stephon Marbury	77	78	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.17	-15	6	-21	16.5	14.6	1.91	17.2	32.7	-15.49
Shawn Marion	70	70	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.11	-18	9	-27	16.6	15.0	1.63	16.7	26.4	-9.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.42,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 100, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.02,0,0	93.1%
MEM 96, LAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,0,0	92.9%
SAS 116, SEA 101	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.02,0.04,0,0	92.7%