inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 116 Excitement5.2 [750] MVPWally Szczerbiak (SEA): +25.4%
Seattle SuperSonics 101 Comeback1.9 [1047] LVPEarl Watson (SEA): -10.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.160.000.031379%0.181-0.042100%0.00
Michael Finley0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.130.010.014110%0.1200.002100%0.01
Matt Bonner0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.01586%0.132-0.064100%0.02
Tony Parker0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07-0.010.04-0.042048%0.122-0.056100%0.03
Brent Barry0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.02-0.01757%0.0700.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.060.13-0.020.051865%0.081-0.034100%0.02
Fabricio Oberto0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.01560%0.0500.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.01
Darius Washington0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.010,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.02-0.00540%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Ime Udoka-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00125%-0.011-0.02250%0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.250.020.021387%0.2500.005100%0.03
Kevin Durant0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.130.130.10-0.01-0.051769%0.183-0.042100%0.01
Chris Wilcox0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.021159%0.0800.00580%-0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.02-0.00650%0.0300.0000%0.00
Mickael Gelabale00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.00643%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.020.00367%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01325%-0.021-0.032100%0.01
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.05-0.04945%0.032-0.0920%-0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.05-0.011030%-0.061-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.00.830.214.625.01.831.2129.6
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +23.9%
SAS +2.2%
SAS +21.5%
SAS +1.5%
SAS +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASSEANBASASSEANBA
this game18.614.315.4133.3114.8105.7
season16.514.5104.799.1
opponent15.015.3107.9100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.717.519.521.018.6
SEA14.615.213.314.314.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan64630.400.100.300.05123918.618.50.1214.115.0-0.94
Manu Ginobili54520.390.110.28-0.1418-32118.319.2-0.9214.614.00.60
Matt Bonner39400.280.220.07-0.04114719.218.20.9915.313.51.78
Tony Parker65650.280.220.060.22213-1119.117.11.9714.214.7-0.44
Brent Barry25270.240.26-0.020.0187119.718.21.5016.413.42.94
Fabricio Oberto51510.240.26-0.020.27-116-1719.417.51.8414.414.20.20
Jacque Vaughn22230.220.28-0.06-0.161321117.119.1-1.9714.714.20.44
Michael Finley37360.190.31-0.110.10312-917.619.4-1.8113.415.0-1.54
Bruce Bowen60610.170.33-0.150.20-116-1719.416.82.6014.613.80.80
Francisco Elson10120.110.39-0.27-0.1596313.419.3-5.8913.314.5-1.15
Darius Washington340.000.50-0.50-0.09312-98.719.0-10.306.214.7-8.46
Ime Udoka810-0.040.54-0.57-0.07114-1315.119.0-3.847.915.2-7.25

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mickael Gelabale1212-0.00-0.500.490.03-1-141317.113.93.1917.518.8-1.29
Nick Collison2425-0.12-0.380.27-0.03-3-12916.313.62.7020.917.73.19
Wally Szczerbiak5149-0.18-0.320.150.09-9-6-314.613.90.6618.219.2-1.02
Jeff Green3635-0.18-0.320.130.05-8-7-114.714.00.7118.918.40.51
Earl Watson3939-0.19-0.310.11-0.11-3-12913.215.2-2.0717.619.5-1.89
Kurt Thomas4748-0.23-0.270.03-0.15-3-12913.615.1-1.5319.217.91.29
Delonte West4948-0.31-0.19-0.110.05-12-3-915.213.22.0719.517.61.89
Damien Wilkins4645-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.21-6-9314.713.90.7720.017.12.88
Kevin Durant6768-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.02-14-1-1313.417.4-4.0118.220.1-1.85
Chris Wilcox6966-0.47-0.03-0.430.00-161-1713.915.8-1.9317.223.1-5.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.02,0.04,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 104, WAS 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.12,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,093.1%
MEM 96, LAC 850.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,0,093.1%
PHX 101, LAC 920.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,093.0%