NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	91		Excitement	8.0 [245]		MVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): +19.7%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	2.4 [574]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -33.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Long	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	59%	-0.00	2	-0.06	17	88%	0.06
Kedrick Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Eric Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	8	54%	-0.02	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.05
Walter McCarty	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.11	0.00	9	55%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
J.R. Bremer	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	0.03	9	44%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.2	-0.06	-0.16	-0.01	18	50%	0.02	4	-0.23	4	50%	-0.08

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.08	0.01	17	68%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	12	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	81%	0.19	3	-0.17	5	100%	0.04
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.11,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	5	39%	-0.21	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.08
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.21	-0.13	-0.01	16	41%	-0.20	5	-0.13	14	64%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.8	2.4	31.2	15.7	27.3	0.2	36.4	145.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +17.7%

UTA +10.3%

UTA +7.0%

BOS -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	UTA	NBA	BOS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.4	15.5	101.1	107.9	101.6
season	15.6	16.3		99.3	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.5		101.1	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.7	17.5	16.4	15.7	15.7
UTA	15.7	16.0	16.3	17.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bimbo Coles	35	32	0.34	-0.84	1.17	-0.04	13	-18	31	14.5	16.5	-2.01	17.8	15.7	2.10
Kedrick Brown	39	39	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.13	14	-19	33	14.8	16.4	-1.59	17.3	15.8	1.50
Grant Long	7	7	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.01	5	-10	15	14.3	15.9	-1.58	20.9	16.1	4.80
Walter McCarty	65	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.38	11	-16	27	15.0	17.8	-2.79	17.5	14.1	3.39
Mark Blount	27	28	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.08	-20	15	-35	18.1	14.7	3.33	13.8	17.6	-3.82
Paul Pierce	70	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	3	-11	15.1	18.1	-3.09	16.5	16.1	0.44
Antoine Walker	83	82	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	5	-15	15.9	14.3	1.58	16.1	20.9	-4.80
Eric Williams	69	69	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.32	-12	7	-19	16.8	12.4	4.39	16.0	17.9	-1.95
J.R. Bremer	55	57	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.31	-18	13	-31	16.5	14.5	2.01	15.7	17.8	-2.10

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	54	53	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.30	21	-16	37	16.0	17.1	-1.11	17.6	13.1	4.52
Karl Malone	73	74	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.38	14	-9	23	15.8	19.4	-3.58	15.4	17.2	-1.83
Matt Harpring	74	75	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-7	19	16.2	17.5	-1.32	15.8	15.3	0.57
Calbert Cheaney	66	67	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.30	13	-8	21	16.5	16.2	0.36	16.1	14.8	1.29
Andrei Kirilenko	42	42	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.46	-5	10	-15	15.9	16.9	-1.06	13.9	17.4	-3.54
Greg Ostertag	28	29	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-5	15	16.6	16.4	0.25	17.2	15.1	2.11
DeShawn Stevenson	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	7	-9	14.7	16.6	-1.85	18.1	15.5	2.61
John Amaechi	18	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	6	-7	16.3	16.5	-0.13	16.1	15.7	0.46
Scott Padgett	28	28	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.10	-9	14	-23	18.4	15.5	2.85	17.6	14.9	2.70
Tony Massenburg	19	20	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.05	-12	17	-29	18.4	15.9	2.45	13.5	16.4	-2.89
Mark Jackson	35	37	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	0.05	-16	21	-37	17.1	16.0	1.11	13.1	17.6	-4.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.7,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.34,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 119, DEN 124	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.9,1	91.1%
ATL 86, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.63,1	90.7%
MIN 80, IND 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.54,0.61,0.81,0.78,0.95,1	90.5%