NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	82		Excitement	3.7 [1053]		MVP	Jon Barry (DET): +11.2%
Detroit Pistons	105		Comeback	1.7 [1118]		LVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): -18.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	54%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jay Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.03	11	59%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	12	57%	-0.02	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Eddy Curry	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	14	53%	0.00	5	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.17	-0.05	-0.04	15	20%	-0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	5	110%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	65%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.06	16	44%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	19	53%	-0.01	1	-0.00	11	91%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	8	50%	0.03	5	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.5	30.5	17.5	27.5	2.4	29.5	136.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +23.9%

DET +2.4%

DET +7.4%

DET +16.6%

CHI -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	14.6	17.8	15.5	92.1	118.0	101.6
season	15.0	16.8		98.3	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.1		97.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.4	18.2	15.1	13.4	14.6
DET	17.1	17.0	17.6	19.3	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-20	17	12.0	15.8	-3.86	18.4	17.5	0.93
Tyson Chandler	52	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.07	-5	-18	13	14.0	15.5	-1.55	18.3	16.9	1.38
Lonny Baxter	19	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.13	-8	-15	7	13.3	15.0	-1.71	16.1	18.2	-2.11
Jay Williams	38	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.03	-3	-20	17	13.6	15.3	-1.70	18.3	17.3	1.03
Trenton Hassell	27	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	-9	-5	15.5	14.2	1.31	18.0	17.6	0.40
Corie Blount	38	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	-7	-9	15.2	14.1	1.10	17.4	18.0	-0.62
Jamal Crawford	73	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	-9	-5	14.3	15.8	-1.47	17.9	17.2	0.64
Eddy Curry	74	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.18	-21	-2	-19	15.0	12.8	2.17	17.7	17.8	-0.07
Jalen Rose	61	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.12	-20	-3	-17	15.8	12.0	3.86	17.5	18.4	-0.93

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	64	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.22	23	0	23	17.0	19.7	-2.74	14.6	14.7	-0.10
Ben Wallace	72	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	7	9	18.1	16.2	1.88	14.7	14.1	0.57
Clifford Robinson	57	58	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.19	20	3	17	16.8	19.4	-2.58	14.4	15.0	-0.65
Richard Hamilton	62	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.21	18	5	13	17.7	17.8	-0.04	14.3	15.3	-0.99
Michael Curry	41	39	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.10	13	10	3	16.7	18.7	-2.03	14.6	14.6	-0.03
Corliss Williamson	44	47	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.11	13	10	3	18.7	16.8	1.88	14.4	14.8	-0.34
Mehmet Okur	38	36	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	21	-19	19.3	16.6	2.64	15.2	14.2	1.03
Jon Barry	30	29	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	21	-19	18.1	17.6	0.52	15.5	14.2	1.35
Hubert Davis	25	22	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	23	-23	19.7	17.0	2.74	14.7	14.6	0.10
Danny Manning	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	19	-15	14.7	18.0	-3.31	13.0	14.7	-1.70
Tayshaun Prince	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	19	-15	14.7	18.0	-3.31	13.0	14.7	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 104, LAC 114	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
SAC 95, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
HOU 85, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%