NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	95		Excitement	3.3 [1116]		MVP	Jumaine Jones (CLE): +17.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	122		Comeback	1.9 [165]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -7.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	14	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Massenburg	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	12	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	8	65%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	6	21%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	4	0%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	12	53%	-0.00	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.03	0.03	11	100%	0.23	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.01	-0.04	12	68%	0.11	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	11	77%	0.08	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.03	0.04	16	67%	0.08	2	-0.02	10	90%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	14	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	52%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.3	26.5	15.3	21.5	1.7	32.2	123.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +50.2%

UTA -12.4%

CLE +15.3%

UTA -4.3%

CLE +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CLE	NBA	UTA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.9	14.2	15.5	100.0	127.1	101.6
season	16.3	15.1		103.1	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.3		104.3	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.9	17.2	17.5	14.6	15.9
CLE	13.9	13.5	16.8	13.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-19	11	15.1	16.1	-0.94	9.7	15.1	-5.40
John Stockton	48	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-25	23	15.8	16.1	-0.23	15.1	13.4	1.74
Tony Massenburg	58	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.27	-15	-12	-3	16.7	14.8	1.86	14.2	14.2	-0.05
Calbert Cheaney	60	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-20	13	16.6	14.8	1.82	16.0	11.4	4.59
DeShawn Stevenson	23	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.25	-15	-12	-3	16.2	15.9	0.36	10.9	15.4	-4.46
Scott Padgett	30	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.27	-16	-11	-5	16.2	15.8	0.37	11.4	15.6	-4.23
Andrei Kirilenko	48	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.32	-20	-7	-13	14.9	17.0	-2.17	13.1	15.3	-2.15
John Amaechi	26	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	-15	3	15.2	16.2	-1.09	14.8	14.0	0.82
Karl Malone	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-16	5	15.7	16.9	-1.19	15.1	11.3	3.82
Matt Harpring	62	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-15	3	15.9	16.1	-0.17	14.8	13.0	1.83
Mark Jackson	33	34	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.12	-17	-10	-7	16.5	15.7	0.78	15.0	13.8	1.21

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	86	87	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.39	30	-3	33	13.8	17.6	-3.77	16.1	14.0	2.13
Darius Miles	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.32	26	1	25	13.4	16.2	-2.77	16.5	14.6	1.89
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	51	49	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	14	-1	15.3	13.0	2.21	16.9	14.9	2.01
Smush Parker	24	24	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	15	-3	13.1	14.6	-1.46	16.0	15.9	0.13
DeSagana Diop	34	35	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.00	9	18	-9	14.5	14.0	0.48	14.9	16.6	-1.68
Jumaine Jones	52	49	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.22	16	11	5	13.8	14.7	-0.98	15.2	16.7	-1.45
Chris Mihm	58	58	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.26	17	10	7	14.8	13.4	1.36	16.1	15.7	0.36
Milt Palacio	72	71	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.23	15	12	3	14.6	13.1	1.46	15.9	16.0	-0.13
Michael Stewart	17	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	28	-29	14.1	14.3	-0.19	13.1	16.5	-3.34
Carlos Boozer	18	19	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	29	-31	15.3	14.0	1.37	16.3	15.9	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 105, HOU 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
GSW 116, DEN 129	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MIN 85, TOR 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%