NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	102		Excitement	5.7 [645]		MVP	Brian Scalabrine (NJN): +10.3%
New Orleans Hornets	92		Comeback	1.4 [419]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (NOH): -32.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Scalabrine	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.02	9	76%	0.14	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Kerry Kittles	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	14	59%	0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	10	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	87%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	19	47%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.01	0.03	17	42%	-0.07	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	18	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	87%	0.09	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	10	50%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	13	37%	-0.05	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.22	-0.13	-0.03	21	38%	-0.13	7	-0.19	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.6	30.3	15.8	27.1	2.4	31.6	132.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +45.8%

NOH -4.7%

NOH -1.9%

NJN +14.0%

NOH -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NOH	NBA	NJN	NOH	NBA
this game	14.5	16.0	15.5	108.5	96.8	101.6
season	15.0	15.9		101.1	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.9		99.6	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.5	12.7	15.1	17.2	14.5
NOH	15.3	15.5	16.2	17.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	83	84	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.19	12	-2	14	14.5	14.8	-0.36	16.2	13.9	2.33
Brian Scalabrine	51	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	3	4	15.5	13.3	2.12	15.7	16.3	-0.61
Richard Jefferson	80	80	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	6	-2	14.2	16.0	-1.76	16.1	15.1	1.07
Kenyon Martin	73	75	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	2	6	14.5	14.7	-0.21	15.7	16.8	-1.05
Kerry Kittles	72	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	4	2	13.8	16.8	-2.97	16.3	15.0	1.34
Aaron Williams	15	15	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.10	12	-2	14	13.1	14.8	-1.63	15.5	16.0	-0.52
Jason Collins	55	54	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	11	-12	13.9	15.4	-1.47	16.6	15.1	1.49
Lucious Harris	33	34	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	8	-6	16.1	13.6	2.50	14.6	16.7	-2.10
Rodney Rogers	8	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	10	-10	18.1	14.2	3.96	14.6	16.1	-1.47

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Moiso	19	19	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-14	18	15.5	16.1	-0.62	14.9	14.4	0.49
Robert Traylor	23	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-11	12	14.3	16.5	-2.25	15.0	14.3	0.66
Kenny Anderson	60	58	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.19	5	-15	20	14.9	17.9	-2.99	14.8	13.9	0.90
Courtney Alexander	28	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-11	12	15.1	16.3	-1.17	16.7	13.7	2.98
Jamaal Magloire	57	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	0	-10	17.2	14.2	2.97	13.5	16.0	-2.47
David Wesley	83	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	-2	-6	16.0	15.7	0.25	14.0	18.5	-4.48
George Lynch	47	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	4	-18	16.0	15.9	0.15	14.5	14.5	-0.06
P.J. Brown	79	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	3	-16	15.9	16.2	-0.34	14.6	14.0	0.61
Jamal Mashburn	79	80	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.16	-16	6	-22	16.8	11.7	5.15	14.4	14.9	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, MIA 86	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0	93.8%
MIA 92, IND 78	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
BOS 109, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.3,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%