NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	91		Excitement	10.5 [49]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +100.6%
New Jersey Nets	90		Comeback	18.8 [60]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -46.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	1.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.11,0.11,1.01	0.02	0.98	-0.00	11	58%	1.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.01	3	100%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tony Massenburg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03,-0.06	0.04	-0.09	0.00	15	56%	0.05	1	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	70%	0.07	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.03
John Amaechi	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Karl Malone	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	17	50%	-0.08	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.08
John Stockton	-0.47	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.47	-0.11	-0.37	-0.01	9	44%	-0.30	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	16	63%	0.12	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	10	52%	0.09	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.06	0.01	14	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	6	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.14	-0.18	-0.01	9	54%	-0.04	7	-0.27	6	83%	0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.35,-0.35,-0.33,-0.28,-0.28,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.37	-0.37	-0.23	-0.14	0.00	11	43%	-0.04	9	-0.33	6	100%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	26.0	15.5	22.9	1.8	32.8	125.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +115.9%

NJN -36.0%

NJN -25.8%

NJN -5.2%

UTA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NJN	NBA	UTA	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	14.5	15.5	95.8	93.8	101.6
season	16.3	15.0		103.1	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.3		96.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.5	14.5	13.8	17.7	15.7
NJN	14.6	14.3	13.3	15.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	60	60	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.58	6	-5	11	15.8	15.5	0.27	15.2	13.2	2.01
Scott Padgett	32	34	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.56	1	0	1	14.6	16.2	-1.64	14.7	14.4	0.35
John Stockton	56	59	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.54	1	0	1	15.7	15.6	0.16	14.9	13.8	1.09
Andrei Kirilenko	53	55	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.46	-3	4	-7	16.5	14.7	1.74	14.7	14.1	0.58
John Amaechi	15	15	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	-11	23	12.3	16.3	-3.98	14.9	14.4	0.46
Karl Malone	74	74	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.50	-10	11	-21	16.4	13.0	3.45	14.2	15.4	-1.21
Greg Ostertag	55	54	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.09	7	-6	13	15.8	15.5	0.32	14.6	14.3	0.34
Carlos Arroyo	21	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	1	-1	12.8	16.5	-3.75	13.3	14.8	-1.47
Mark Jackson	39	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	1	-1	15.6	15.7	-0.16	13.8	14.9	-1.09
Calbert Cheaney	56	56	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	2	-3	15.9	15.3	0.64	13.9	15.3	-1.49
Tony Massenburg	14	15	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.06	-8	9	-17	17.2	15.4	1.79	14.4	14.5	-0.09

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	73	72	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.13	-3	2	-5	14.9	13.2	1.66	15.9	14.9	1.07
Rodney Rogers	39	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	1	-3	14.7	14.3	0.40	16.2	15.3	0.89
Kenyon Martin	66	65	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.54	15	-16	31	14.3	15.0	-0.71	16.7	13.5	3.14
Anthony Johnson	12	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	6	-13	17.4	14.1	3.36	16.4	15.6	0.81
Brian Scalabrine	11	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	7	-15	13.8	14.6	-0.75	8.9	16.5	-7.58
Kerry Kittles	61	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.66	16	-17	33	14.0	15.4	-1.45	16.4	14.4	2.02
Jason Collins	53	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.69	16	-17	33	14.2	14.8	-0.56	16.9	14.2	2.68
Aaron Williams	43	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.22	-17	16	-33	14.8	14.2	0.56	14.2	16.9	-2.68
Jason Kidd	84	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.55	6	-7	13	14.1	17.4	-3.36	15.6	16.4	-0.81
Lucious Harris	38	36	-1.06	0.56	-1.63	-0.45	-21	20	-41	14.9	14.2	0.69	13.5	17.0	-3.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.33,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 82, MIL 79	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.04,0	91.8%
BOS 92, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.16,0	91.5%
MIN 96, VAN 94	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.27,0	91.3%