NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	96		Excitement	6.6 [467]		MVP	Predrag Drobnjak (SEA): +12.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	1.6 [1028]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): -16.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Predrag Drobnjak	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.12	0.13	0.04	0.05	15	72%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	-0.00	6	93%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.04
Brent Barry	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	13	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ansu Sesay	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Gary Payton	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15	-0.05	-0.11	-0.02	21	42%	-0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.04
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16	-0.05	-0.07	0.04	8	50%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.01	7	81%	0.11	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	71%	0.12	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.06
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.09	0.01	18	55%	0.11	2	-0.05	13	92%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	0.03	9	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.03	-0.05	7	37%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.3	29.3	15.6	23.2	2.0	42.2	136.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +11.0%

POR +31.4%

POR +11.6%

SEA -5.5%

POR +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	POR	NBA	SEA	POR	NBA
this game	15.7	15.9	15.5	104.3	112.2	101.6
season	16.5	16.0		101.7	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.6		101.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.6	14.1	16.5	15.9	15.7
POR	15.4	14.7	17.8	16.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	24	23	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.12	9	-14	23	15.2	15.9	-0.76	17.1	15.5	1.56
Ansu Sesay	42	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.20	4	-9	13	14.5	16.7	-2.22	16.2	15.7	0.45
Vladimir Radmanovic	60	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.52	13	-18	31	14.3	18.4	-4.06	15.7	16.4	-0.75
Reggie Evans	12	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	5	-15	20.8	15.0	5.87	15.3	16.0	-0.68
Vitaly Potapenko	43	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	0	-5	15.1	16.3	-1.15	16.1	15.7	0.41
Predrag Drobnjak	51	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	6	-17	17.5	13.5	3.95	16.2	15.5	0.73
Gary Payton	79	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	1	-7	15.9	14.8	1.12	15.9	16.2	-0.30
Brent Barry	72	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.33	-5	0	-5	16.1	14.4	1.63	15.9	15.9	-0.03
Desmond Mason	77	75	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.23	-14	9	-23	15.5	16.7	-1.12	15.4	18.3	-2.89

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	78	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-4	13	15.9	16.1	-0.19	15.8	15.1	0.69
Dale Davis	66	67	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	-5	15	16.3	14.9	1.43	16.4	13.8	2.59
Bonzi Wells	58	59	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	0	5	15.3	17.0	-1.62	16.2	14.8	1.42
Derek Anderson	71	73	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	0	5	15.7	16.8	-1.17	15.3	17.5	-2.20
Scottie Pippen	46	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-8	21	15.6	16.2	-0.60	16.5	15.0	1.45
Ruben Patterson	35	37	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	4	-3	16.1	15.8	0.27	15.3	16.0	-0.72
Jeff McInnis	45	47	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.36	-8	13	-21	16.3	15.6	0.73	15.0	16.4	-1.40
Antonio Daniels	19	18	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	9	-13	15.9	15.9	0.03	14.8	15.9	-1.11
Arvydas Sabonis	20	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	7	-9	16.7	15.7	1.06	15.1	15.9	-0.78
Zach Randolph	12	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	9	-13	16.1	15.9	0.19	15.1	15.8	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.96,1	93.3%
CHI 95, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.84,0.9,1	92.7%
BOS 109, TOR 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.55,0.85,0.85,1	92.6%