NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	75		Excitement	9.2 [109]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +10.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	77		Comeback	5.0 [380]		LVP	Marcus Fizer (CHI): -42.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08	-0.02	0.09	-0.00	12	48%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.05
Fred Hoiberg	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	22	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.11
Tyson Chandler	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	38%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Corie Blount	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	12	47%	-0.08	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.05
Trenton Hassell	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	8	29%	-0.16	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.34,-0.34,-0.42	-0.16	-0.27	-0.00	8	22%	-0.16	4	-0.26	2	100%	0.05

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	14	68%	0.15	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.08
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	10	30%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	16	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.11	-0.01	4	64%	-0.02	2	-0.11	6	83%	-0.03
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	7	27%	-0.07	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	12	42%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	5	33%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.18	-0.04	-0.03	15	13%	-0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	24.6	16.2	21.6	3.3	48.5	140.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +7.2%

LAC +12.4%

LAC +14.9%

LAC +15.0%

LAC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAC	NBA	CHI	LAC	NBA
this game	16.1	16.1	15.5	84.3	85.6	101.6
season	15.0	15.4		98.3	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.3	14.7	15.7	20.1	16.1
LAC	15.7	17.3	15.6	15.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	47	47	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.01	5	-7	12	15.0	17.3	-2.26	15.6	16.6	-0.99
Eddy Curry	8	8	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-4	6	13.0	16.4	-3.37	16.9	16.0	0.84
Jamal Crawford	64	65	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.27	7	-9	16	15.7	17.1	-1.41	14.8	19.5	-4.66
Fred Hoiberg	8	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	3	-8	15.7	16.1	-0.35	12.7	16.4	-3.68
Corie Blount	26	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	5	-12	19.2	14.8	4.41	14.5	16.7	-2.20
Eddie Robinson	26	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	1	-4	16.8	15.8	1.05	15.0	16.6	-1.59
Donyell Marshall	61	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.49	8	-10	18	14.9	18.5	-3.60	16.6	15.0	1.59
Trenton Hassell	63	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-2	2	15.8	16.8	-1.05	16.6	15.0	1.59
Jalen Rose	81	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.51	3	-5	8	16.1	15.7	0.35	16.4	12.7	3.68
Rick Brunson	25	25	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.17	-9	7	-16	17.1	15.7	1.41	19.5	14.8	4.66
Marcus Fizer	36	37	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.47	-11	9	-20	17.8	14.9	2.92	16.8	15.6	1.19

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	32	30	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.47	6	-4	10	15.2	16.6	-1.38	16.9	15.6	1.26
Sean Rooks	57	56	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.44	7	-5	12	15.9	16.4	-0.49	17.2	14.2	2.95
Elton Brand	57	58	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.52	3	-1	4	16.9	14.8	2.09	16.6	15.2	1.39
Quentin Richardson	47	44	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.50	3	-1	4	17.7	14.3	3.37	17.1	15.1	1.98
Corey Maggette	80	80	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.43	4	-2	6	15.3	22.3	-6.96	16.4	13.1	3.29
Eric Piatkowski	17	16	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.09	6	-4	10	17.9	15.7	2.18	14.9	16.3	-1.38
Andre Miller	60	60	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	6	-10	16.4	15.5	0.92	15.6	17.1	-1.54
Lamar Odom	40	42	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.01	-8	10	-18	15.5	16.6	-1.06	14.8	17.2	-2.43
Michael Olowokandi	60	59	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.05	-7	9	-16	15.4	17.6	-2.18	14.7	18.8	-4.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.35,0.38,0.46,0.64,0.43,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 91, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.58,1	92.2%
PHI 94, MIL 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.72,1	91.9%
ATL 75, ORL 79	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.47,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.58,1	91.5%