NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	80		Excitement	5.3 [740]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (CLE): +10.4%
Golden State Warriors	108		Comeback	1.0 [1194]		LVP	Dajuan Wagner (CLE): -14.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.02	-0.05	15	56%	0.11	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	61%	-0.02	2	-0.05	9	44%	-0.07
Ricky Davis	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	19	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.02
Smush Parker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	3	25%	-0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	4	25%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.05	12	23%	-0.15	2	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Dajuan Wagner	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	13	23%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	16	47%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	22	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.04	7	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.02
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	13	44%	-0.01	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	29.2	15.5	22.5	2.3	29.6	126.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +36.9%

GSW +13.7%

GSW +1.2%

CLE -0.3%

CLE -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	GSW	NBA	CLE	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	14.1	15.5	80.8	110.2	101.6
season	15.1	14.6		94.6	105.3
opponent	15.1	14.9		106.8	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.9	14.1	15.4	15.4	15.2
GSW	14.1	13.6	14.6	13.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-19	10	14.4	15.2	-0.87	15.0	14.0	1.02
Tyrone Hill	24	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-27	26	13.9	15.6	-1.66	13.6	14.2	-0.62
Milt Palacio	33	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-23	18	14.5	15.5	-1.03	14.4	13.9	0.48
DeSagana Diop	24	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-25	22	16.0	14.9	1.15	13.1	14.4	-1.34
Jumaine Jones	59	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.21	-16	-12	-4	14.9	15.6	-0.76	13.8	14.5	-0.74
Carlos Boozer	72	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.35	-21	-7	-14	15.3	14.9	0.39	14.2	13.8	0.33
Darius Miles	36	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.10	-13	-15	2	15.8	14.8	0.95	14.7	13.7	1.04
Dajuan Wagner	50	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-21	14	15.8	14.6	1.19	14.0	14.1	-0.13
Smush Parker	48	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.44	-26	-2	-24	15.2	15.1	0.15	13.9	14.2	-0.36
Ricky Davis	76	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.25	-21	-7	-14	15.1	15.6	-0.51	14.0	14.2	-0.21
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	65	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.08	-18	-10	-8	15.2	15.1	0.13	14.4	13.4	0.98

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	89	90	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.09	18	10	8	14.1	13.6	0.56	15.2	14.6	0.68
Troy Murphy	63	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	17	-6	14.0	14.3	-0.30	15.0	15.4	-0.35
Jason Richardson	75	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.36	25	3	22	14.2	13.7	0.48	14.8	16.4	-1.59
Erick Dampier	36	37	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	21	-14	13.8	14.2	-0.36	16.1	14.6	1.50
Adonal Foyle	47	46	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.41	23	5	18	14.7	13.5	1.23	15.1	15.3	-0.20
Gilbert Arenas	66	68	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.27	18	10	8	14.2	13.7	0.51	15.1	15.4	-0.36
Earl Boykins	36	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	20	-12	13.5	14.4	-0.89	14.7	15.4	-0.75
Mike Dunleavy	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.34	18	10	8	14.1	14.1	0.02	15.7	14.8	0.84
Bob Sura	33	32	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	22	-16	13.4	14.4	-1.01	15.3	15.1	0.25
Jiri Welsch	5	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.19	6	22	-16	14.6	14.0	0.57	15.2	15.2	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.7,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.2%
DET 86, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
GSW 101, UTA 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%