NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	96		Excitement	6.0 [579]		MVP	James Posey (HOU): +6.8%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	2.4 [750]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -22.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	19	58%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Dan Langhi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	0.01	-0.08	0.06	29	51%	-0.06	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22	-0.13	-0.08	0.01	21	44%	-0.15	3	-0.08	12	67%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.02	8	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	13	56%	0.08	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	61%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	21	59%	0.06	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.04
Juaquin Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	13	34%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	31.0	16.4	22.4	2.5	40.4	139.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +44.7%

HOU +3.4%

PHX -4.1%

HOU +5.2%

HOU +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	15.8	15.5	100.0	109.7	101.6
season	15.0	16.3		101.1	101.7
opponent	15.4	15.9		100.4	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.2	17.4	13.9	13.4	14.7
HOU	16.4	16.0	16.2	14.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	26	26	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.08	12	-18	30	14.4	14.8	-0.42	19.5	14.4	5.18
Bo Outlaw	24	23	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.10	10	-16	26	16.0	14.2	1.81	18.1	15.0	3.09
Casey Jacobsen	31	29	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.17	7	-13	20	14.9	14.6	0.27	18.7	14.5	4.19
Randy Brown	23	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.19	5	-11	16	16.9	14.0	2.87	16.7	15.5	1.12
Alton Ford	4	2	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-2	-2	7.2	15.0	-7.76	12.0	15.9	-3.89
Scott Williams	29	29	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	7	-20	16.6	13.9	2.67	13.0	17.1	-4.13
Dan Langhi	20	19	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.01	-13	7	-20	15.8	14.4	1.41	17.1	15.5	1.57
Shawn Marion	89	87	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	-2	-2	14.3	19.0	-4.65	15.8	15.7	0.15
Stephon Marbury	89	87	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	0	-6	14.2	21.0	-6.81	15.7	17.8	-2.17
Joe Johnson	62	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.18	-11	5	-16	13.8	16.2	-2.40	14.1	18.8	-4.71
Amar'e Stoudemire	83	81	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.25	-13	7	-20	14.7	14.7	-0.01	14.9	22.0	-7.11

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	84	85	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.34	6	0	6	15.7	16.9	-1.20	14.2	18.6	-4.46
Steve Francis	83	85	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.31	5	1	4	16.7	8.3	8.41	14.7	14.5	0.16
Yao Ming	68	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	2	2	14.4	19.8	-5.41	14.3	15.6	-1.31
Cuttino Mobley	78	79	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.39	-4	10	-14	15.7	16.3	-0.55	14.3	16.4	-2.10
Terence Morris	55	57	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	7	-8	16.5	14.8	1.76	13.4	16.6	-3.29
Moochie Norris	25	27	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.07	11	-5	16	13.1	16.8	-3.73	16.0	14.2	1.88
Eddie Griffin	38	39	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	-1	8	14.8	16.5	-1.76	16.6	13.4	3.29
Kelvin Cato	25	27	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	4	-2	19.8	14.4	5.41	15.6	14.3	1.31
Juaquin Hawkins	9	12	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	6	-6	16.9	15.7	1.20	17.6	14.3	3.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 83, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
PHI 90, MIL 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
BKN 105, OKC 124	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.82,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.94,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%