inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 101 Excitement5.4 [730] MVPRichard Hamilton (DET): +14.0%
Orlando Magic 86 Comeback3.3 [258] LVPBen Wallace (DET): -18.0%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Hamilton0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.100.03-0.011375%0.182-0.041090%0.03
Clifford Robinson0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.03-0.001268%0.131-0.021100%0.01
Chauncey Billups0.030,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.01-0.021157%0.062-0.046100%0.04
Mehmet Okur-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.03-0.031148%-0.001-0.001100%0.01
Corliss Williamson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.01865%0.074-0.084100%0.02
Chucky Atkins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Michael Curry-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00250%-0.021-0.03250%-0.02
Jon Barry-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.020.02743%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.16-0.04-0.021031%-0.123-0.06633%-0.07

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.01-0.021555%0.091-0.023100%0.01
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.002100%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Olumide Oyedeji00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeryl Sasser0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.00280%0.041-0.04667%-0.01
Steven Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01450%-0.0100.00450%-0.05
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Pat Burke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00250%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Shawn Kemp0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.001145%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.00643%-0.061-0.002100%0.00
Grant Hill0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.011155%0.014-0.0800%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.03-0.051943%-0.052-0.03978%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.61.831.316.728.02.729.5137.6
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +13.1%
DET +19.2%
DET +25.0%
ORL -9.0%
DET +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETORLNBADETORLNBA
this game16.715.715.5113.596.6101.6
season16.814.6101.7102.7
opponent15.815.6103.197.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.515.116.818.416.7
ORL13.517.616.715.015.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Wallace79770.61-0.110.720.0220-52516.518.1-1.5915.814.61.26
Richard Hamilton53540.490.010.48-0.0117-21916.117.5-1.3716.115.01.06
Chauncey Billups64620.450.050.400.071321115.918.6-2.6615.516.0-0.47
Clifford Robinson62630.320.180.130.0596316.317.6-1.2515.715.60.08
Jon Barry47470.250.25-0.00-0.0296316.516.9-0.3315.815.50.33
Corliss Williamson35350.210.29-0.08-0.0287117.815.91.8815.515.8-0.36
Mehmet Okur39390.080.42-0.340.05114-1317.915.72.1615.116.1-0.97
Michael Curry40400.050.45-0.390.17-419-2316.616.7-0.0615.715.70.00
Chucky Atkins26280.040.46-0.41-0.02213-1118.116.11.9715.415.8-0.36

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeryl Sasser14130.10-0.600.69-0.055-202514.615.9-1.3115.416.9-1.52
Olumide Oyedeji440.00-0.500.500.000-151516.515.60.8616.216.7-0.46
Steven Hunter2425-0.05-0.450.40-0.143-182115.015.9-0.9816.616.7-0.06
Andrew DeClercq3231-0.07-0.430.36-0.070-151514.516.3-1.7817.416.31.08
Pat Garrity3233-0.08-0.420.350.10-6-9314.716.2-1.4917.516.21.22
Jacque Vaughn3030-0.08-0.420.34-0.080-151514.616.2-1.6216.816.60.17
Pat Burke2119-0.17-0.330.160.04-7-8117.215.21.9815.017.1-2.14
Darrell Armstrong6564-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.11-5-10516.314.12.1816.118.2-2.11
Tracy McGrady6969-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.04-10-5-515.815.30.4816.417.6-1.18
Grant Hill4445-0.43-0.07-0.360.01-150-1515.715.7-0.0318.115.32.79
Shawn Kemp4949-0.43-0.07-0.360.01-150-1516.514.61.8616.117.4-1.30
Mike Miller6163-0.700.20-0.910.03-2510-3515.915.30.5717.115.81.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 95, MIN 820.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.3%
DET 91, NOH 760.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,094.1%
MIA 114, WAS 1110.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.0%