inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 101 Excitement9.0 [138] MVPChauncey Billups (DET): +66.2%
New Orleans Hornets 99 Comeback130.6 [4] LVPJerome Moiso (NOH): -26.8%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0.660,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.31,0.660.160.530.031876%0.743-0.086100%0.07
Richard Hamilton0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02-0.010.02-0.011459%0.103-0.089100%0.11
Tayshaun Prince-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.010.02858%-0.011-0.023100%0.01
Clifford Robinson-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.020.021552%-0.0300.001080%0.01
Michael Curry-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Chucky Atkins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.02-0.00629%-0.021-0.022100%0.09
Jon Barry-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.0240%-0.061-0.0100%0.00
Corliss Williamson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.050.01858%-0.032-0.043100%0.01

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Wesley0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.370.370.180.220.031674%0.3700.00250%-0.02
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.070.01743%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Courtney Alexander0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.001050%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00-0.01657%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.02667%0.062-0.06667%-0.01
Robert Pack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jamal Mashburn0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.23,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.10-0.042645%-0.072-0.056100%0.18
Elden Campbell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.14-0.03-0.03617%-0.054-0.1000%0.00
Jerome Moiso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.03-0.230.00557%-0.002-0.27450%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.51.829.315.728.02.438.62.422.9166.6
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.91.917.2149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +2.8%
DET +41.1%
NOH -28.4%
DET +36.4%
NOH -1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETNOHNBADETNOHNBA
this game16.616.515.5107.4101.0101.6
season16.815.9101.7101.6
opponent15.615.699.697.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DET18.217.518.013.216.216.6
NOH17.814.514.918.318.316.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Hamilton54600.70-0.200.900.478-61416.516.8-0.3117.614.92.71
Chauncey Billups74780.68-0.180.860.448-61416.616.7-0.2016.715.90.79
Corliss Williamson62650.62-0.120.740.417-51215.319.1-3.7916.416.7-0.30
Clifford Robinson84880.60-0.100.710.494-2616.814.62.2316.516.9-0.41
Chucky Atkins52530.53-0.030.550.2310-81815.917.5-1.5917.415.51.84
Tayshaun Prince66-0.100.60-0.700.02-46-1016.016.6-0.6412.316.8-4.47
Jon Barry3432-0.170.67-0.840.03-79-1616.416.7-0.3815.716.9-1.25
Michael Curry3436-0.220.72-0.950.07-1012-2218.315.62.6615.817.0-1.19
Mehmet Okur7173-0.440.94-1.37-0.17-911-2017.314.32.9816.117.9-1.87

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Elden Campbell37350.32-0.821.130.088-101815.117.4-2.3717.216.30.92
Robert Traylor32-0.07-0.430.360.02-31-413.316.6-3.3019.016.52.46
P.J. Brown6562-0.11-0.390.290.07-64-1018.412.95.4116.516.7-0.14
Jamaal Magloire4747-0.13-0.370.240.02-53-818.115.13.0316.616.60.04
Robert Pack1717-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.383-5815.216.8-1.5716.416.6-0.30
Courtney Alexander4039-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.17-53-816.716.40.2916.916.40.47
Stacey Augmon5754-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.557-91616.117.1-0.9316.416.8-0.40
Jerome Moiso4241-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.524-61014.218.3-4.1016.316.8-0.45
Jamal Mashburn9490-0.570.07-0.65-0.40-64-1016.613.72.9016.617.5-0.94
David Wesley8883-0.590.09-0.67-0.38-75-1216.516.9-0.4116.517.2-0.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.73,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.95,0.5,0.61,0.85,0.68,0.72,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 110, SAC 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.73,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.46,0.75,0.71,0.55,0.73,090.7%
MIA 106, CHA 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.83,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,089.7%
NJN 103, WAS 990.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.79,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.26,088.9%