NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	109		Excitement	11.0 [34]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +24.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	115		Comeback	3.0 [322]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -41.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.18	0.07	0.01	17	73%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Doug Christie	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.12	-0.02	9	61%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	2	150%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	15	60%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.09	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	4	0%	-0.11	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.18,-0.15,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.11,0,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	28	45%	-0.02	2	-0.12	11	36%	-0.41
Mike Bibby	-0.41	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.4,-0.4,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.41,-0.41	-0.20	-0.24	-0.03	12	25%	-0.26	4	-0.16	4	50%	-0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.14	-0.02	4	100%	0.24	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	17	66%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	-0.08	0.15	-0.04	15	55%	0.20	4	-0.10	14	71%	0.08
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	3	33%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	8	72%	0.18	3	-0.23	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	10	42%	-0.09	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	10	36%	-0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.26,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	15	44%	-0.11	5	-0.13	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	20.4	1.8	23.2	15.4	31.2	2.6	38.2	1.8	18.2	152.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -34.8%

MIN +27.2%

MIN +77.4%

SAC -28.9%

MIN +9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	13.5	15.4	15.5	100.0	103.6	101.6
season	14.0	14.9		104.4	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.7		102.3	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	14.6	15.0	10.6	15.4	11.8	13.5
MIN	13.7	18.5	13.9	14.6	19.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	25	26	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-6	6	14.9	13.1	1.77	17.1	14.9	2.22
Jim Jackson	28	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.09	-3	-3	0	14.5	13.2	1.38	15.8	15.2	0.62
Hedo Turkoglu	9	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	2	-10	18.2	13.1	5.13	15.5	15.4	0.13
Keon Clark	47	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	0	-6	14.5	12.8	1.68	16.2	14.8	1.32
Chris Webber	99	102	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.38	2	-8	10	13.2	16.6	-3.40	15.5	14.3	1.14
Peja Stojakovic	96	97	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-4	2	13.0	17.1	-4.05	15.1	17.0	-1.86
Doug Christie	86	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.45	0	-6	6	13.1	15.1	-1.99	15.4	15.5	-0.13
Vlade Divac	71	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.29	-7	1	-8	13.5	13.6	-0.10	14.9	16.3	-1.39
Mike Bibby	84	85	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	0	-6	13.1	14.9	-1.77	14.9	17.1	-2.22

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	92	90	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.30	13	-7	20	14.9	17.7	-2.78	13.6	13.2	0.37
Rod Strickland	49	49	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-5	16	14.8	15.8	-0.97	14.0	13.1	0.85
Kendall Gill	72	71	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.43	0	6	-6	15.3	15.4	-0.09	13.1	14.3	-1.27
Rasho Nesterovic	81	79	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	5	-4	15.1	16.1	-1.03	13.1	14.5	-1.36
Joe Smith	87	85	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	8	-10	15.5	14.9	0.64	13.3	14.4	-1.10
Gary Trent	14	14	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	0	6	17.7	15.0	2.67	16.1	13.1	2.93
Marc Jackson	28	29	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	2	2	16.6	15.0	1.60	14.9	13.0	1.93
Anthony Peeler	33	35	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	2	2	15.8	15.2	0.54	14.0	13.3	0.72
Wally Szczerbiak	35	32	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	9	-12	15.1	15.5	-0.47	13.3	13.6	-0.28
Troy Hudson	64	61	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	10	-14	15.6	15.0	0.58	13.0	14.2	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.28,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 117, PHI 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.85,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.6,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.22,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.94,0.96,1	88.6%
ORL 115, MIN 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.95,0.96,1	88.5%
PHI 95, NOH 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.99,1	88.3%