NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	104		Excitement	13.2 [5]		MVP	Erick Strickland (IND): +22.9%
Washington Wizards	107		Comeback	3.8 [337]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -44.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.23	0.09	0.14	0.00	6	92%	0.26	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.02	0.15	-0.10	0.02	22	69%	0.29	2	-0.27	4	100%	0.06
Fred Jones	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	1	100%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	9	45%	0.19	5	-0.32	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	7	37%	-0.13	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Reggie Miller	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.32	-0.03	-0.30	-0.01	12	42%	-0.31	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.44	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.37,-0.5,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44	-0.18	-0.28	-0.02	22	45%	-0.22	5	-0.23	14	71%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.4,0.32,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.05	-0.00	26	64%	0.34	2	-0.17	12	83%	-0.03
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	15	56%	0.11	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.04
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	19	55%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	43%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23	-0.23	-0.19	-0.06	-0.03	8	0%	-0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.3	-0.30	-0.11	-0.21	-0.01	8	33%	-0.16	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	22.9	2.4	26.6	15.6	27.3	2.3	34.2	0.2	12.1	2.5	22.0	168.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +28.1%

WAS +10.6%

IND -18.9%

WAS +33.7%

IND -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	15.6	17.1	15.5	98.1	100.0	101.6
season	15.4	16.5		102.2	100.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	13.6	15.7	14.9	16.6	18.4	15.5
WAS	17.0	15.6	19.4	17.7	21.9	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Mercer	50	50	0.33	-0.83	1.15	0.03	10	-13	23	15.0	16.1	-1.09	16.7	17.5	-0.81
Jeff Foster	10	11	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-8	13	15.7	15.6	0.14	16.5	17.2	-0.71
Fred Jones	47	49	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	1	-5	13.9	16.9	-3.10	18.0	16.3	1.63
Erick Strickland	42	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.38	10	-13	23	14.7	16.1	-1.43	15.5	18.1	-2.62
Jamaal Tinsley	77	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	8	-19	15.6	15.4	0.22	18.1	14.3	3.75
Reggie Miller	67	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	2	-7	16.6	13.8	2.86	16.6	17.9	-1.22
Al Harrington	84	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.59	7	-10	17	15.4	16.1	-0.71	16.8	18.2	-1.43
Jermaine O'Neal	89	90	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	3	-9	15.5	16.1	-0.58	17.2	16.6	0.53
Brad Miller	56	55	-1.24	0.74	-1.98	-0.63	-21	18	-39	16.8	14.2	2.57	16.9	17.3	-0.38

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	95	95	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.41	15	-12	27	17.3	15.5	1.79	16.0	11.6	4.40
Larry Hughes	83	83	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-7	17	16.8	18.1	-1.28	16.1	13.5	2.62
Charles Oakley	53	53	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.41	8	-5	13	17.0	17.1	-0.11	16.3	14.8	1.49
Jerry Stackhouse	91	91	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	0	3	17.1	17.2	-0.11	15.5	15.7	-0.18
Christian Laettner	53	53	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	-3	9	18.6	15.6	2.92	16.6	14.6	1.98
Brendan Haywood	68	67	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	-1	5	17.8	15.8	2.00	15.2	16.2	-0.96
Kwame Brown	11	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	3	-3	15.6	17.3	-1.62	13.0	15.9	-2.87
Bobby Simmons	3	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	5	-7	14.3	17.2	-2.84	11.0	15.7	-4.66
Bryon Russell	19	19	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	8	-13	14.1	17.7	-3.63	15.8	15.5	0.26
Etan Thomas	14	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	10	-17	15.7	17.3	-1.59	12.2	16.1	-3.87
Tyronn Lue	38	34	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.19	-17	20	-37	15.7	17.8	-2.10	12.7	16.9	-4.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.55,0.28,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.63,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 83, ATL 77	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.57,0.42,0	87.4%
PHX 104, MIN 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.81,0.64,0.56,0.58,1	87.0%
SAC 98, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.5,0.65,0.52,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.28,0	87.0%