inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 85 Excitement5.8 [624] MVPArvydas Sabonis (POR): +4.6%
Detroit Pistons 74 Comeback1.5 [462] LVPChauncey Billups (DET): -21.3%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.00-0.031168%0.114-0.086100%0.03
Scottie Pippen0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.020.04-0.02657%0.092-0.052100%0.01
Dale Davis0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.010.02580%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Antonio Daniels0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Qyntel Woods0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derek Anderson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.000.02952%-0.0400.00989%0.01
Zach Randolph-0.070,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.01550%-0.032-0.042100%0.01
Bonzi Wells-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.110.00-0.021545%0.013-0.09887%0.02
Ruben Patterson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.01641%-0.051-0.04520%-0.06
Jeff McInnis-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.00425%-0.033-0.0800%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.01-0.00-0.031761%0.104-0.06250%-0.02
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.04,0,0.09,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.010.02782%0.154-0.143100%0.02
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.05-0.011250%-0.011-0.06875%-0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.00325%-0.0700.002100%0.01
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.0040%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.05-0.00933%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Clifford Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.050.01825%-0.111-0.0100%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.13-0.05-0.00733%-0.141-0.041020%-0.10
Chauncey Billups0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.16-0.06-0.01613%-0.133-0.09367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.61.728.715.830.41.728.2135.1
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +39.0%
POR +20.5%
DET -5.9%
DET -1.3%
DET -2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORDETNBAPORDETNBA
this game16.116.915.595.586.0101.6
season16.016.8104.3101.7
opponent15.615.797.8101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR15.915.414.818.416.1
DET15.417.417.317.616.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Anderson71680.75-0.251.000.1919-82715.816.9-1.1116.817.0-0.16
Rasheed Wallace59570.72-0.220.930.2217-62316.215.80.4417.715.22.51
Scottie Pippen62610.67-0.170.840.1717-62316.315.60.6717.415.51.91
Dale Davis69670.60-0.100.710.2512-11315.916.7-0.8916.617.8-1.25
Bonzi Wells79760.470.030.440.2092716.016.6-0.6116.718.3-1.62
Qyntel Woods110.000.50-0.500.00011-1114.016.1-2.0810.017.0-6.95
Zach Randolph2423-0.110.61-0.72-0.05-213-1516.216.00.2715.217.5-2.32
Arvydas Sabonis1919-0.120.62-0.74-0.09-112-1317.615.61.9417.816.61.25
Ruben Patterson1616-0.140.64-0.79-0.06-314-1716.615.90.6218.016.61.39
Antonio Daniels1817-0.160.66-0.830.04-718-2515.316.2-0.9116.616.9-0.28
Jeff McInnis2725-0.170.67-0.840.00-617-2315.616.3-0.6715.517.4-1.91

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jon Barry4041-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-121316.017.6-1.5816.116.00.12
Michael Curry3334-0.11-0.390.27-0.03-3-8517.516.50.9916.016.1-0.04
Clifford Robinson3740-0.16-0.340.18-0.13-1-10917.216.60.6516.815.51.31
Chucky Atkins3839-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-5-6117.516.41.1715.216.7-1.47
Mehmet Okur3131-0.25-0.25-0.010.04-10-1-917.716.41.3615.116.6-1.42
Chauncey Billups5356-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.19-4-7316.018.2-2.1716.016.2-0.20
Ben Wallace8183-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.20-8-3-517.015.21.7816.411.35.06
Corliss Williamson6162-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.18-10-1-916.916.80.1616.016.1-0.13
Richard Hamilton5659-0.530.03-0.57-0.09-154-1916.517.5-0.9616.215.80.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.13,0.04,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 90, SEA 780.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.06,0.07,0,0,093.6%
HOU 108, SAC 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.02,0,093.5%
DET 78, BOS 680.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,093.1%