NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	95		Excitement	9.4 [97]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +23.9%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	6.9 [100]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): -26.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.00	0.09	-0.00	12	61%	0.16	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.05
David Robinson	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	8	75%	0.15	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Danny Ferry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	46%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Malik Rose	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.1,-0.18	-0.04	-0.17	-0.03	23	56%	0.10	5	-0.28	9	78%	0.12

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.19	0.01	18	62%	0.28	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.22
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.00	11	73%	0.16	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.2,0.15,0.09	0.09	-0.04	0.11	-0.02	7	60%	0.14	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.09
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	8	61%	0.03	6	-0.16	7	86%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26	-0.26	-0.16	-0.12	-0.01	11	9%	-0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.7	28.8	16.6	29.4	2.7	41.0	145.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +7.4%

NYK +5.7%

NYK +7.7%

NYK +19.5%

NYK +9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NYK	NBA	SAS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.1	14.8	15.5	97.9	100.0	101.6
season	15.7	15.6		102.5	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		104.0	96.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.4	14.8	14.4	15.6	15.1
NYK	18.1	12.9	14.4	14.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Ferry	19	18	0.44	-0.94	1.38	0.23	7	-8	15	15.1	15.0	0.07	14.7	14.8	-0.09
Manu Ginobili	4	4	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.10	5	-6	11	15.5	15.0	0.47	20.0	14.6	5.43
Steve Kerr	25	25	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.25	-6	5	-11	14.4	15.3	-0.93	12.8	15.5	-2.75
Steven Smith	15	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.19	-6	5	-11	14.5	15.1	-0.61	17.1	14.4	2.75
Malik Rose	21	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.08	-6	5	-11	14.9	15.1	-0.25	13.1	15.3	-2.11
Kevin Willis	19	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	7	-15	15.3	15.0	0.26	14.8	14.8	0.06
David Robinson	64	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.61	10	-11	21	15.5	14.2	1.36	15.1	14.2	0.98
Stephen Jackson	84	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.45	0	-1	1	14.9	15.8	-0.83	14.9	14.2	0.62
Tony Parker	73	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.74	5	-6	11	15.1	14.8	0.29	15.5	12.8	2.75
Tim Duncan	82	82	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.61	-3	2	-5	14.7	16.7	-1.99	14.5	16.4	-1.92
Bruce Bowen	79	79	-0.99	0.49	-1.49	-0.91	-3	2	-5	15.3	13.8	1.50	14.5	16.2	-1.68

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	83	83	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.57	7	-6	13	14.4	17.0	-2.55	15.0	15.6	-0.69
Latrell Sprewell	70	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.65	-2	3	-5	15.2	13.7	1.45	15.2	14.8	0.39
Michael Doleac	69	68	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.31	9	-8	17	14.1	16.6	-2.56	15.0	15.2	-0.22
Charlie Ward	54	54	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-8	17	13.5	16.5	-2.95	15.2	14.8	0.39
Clar. Weatherspoon	31	32	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	-16	33	13.6	15.4	-1.79	15.6	14.8	0.81
Othella Harrington	32	31	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.54	-14	15	-29	16.2	14.1	2.14	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Kurt Thomas	47	49	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	5	-9	15.0	14.6	0.45	15.2	14.9	0.27
Howard Eisley	42	43	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.19	-8	9	-17	16.5	13.5	2.95	14.8	15.2	-0.39
Travis Knight	13	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	7	-13	17.2	14.4	2.73	13.8	15.3	-1.48
Shandon Anderson	39	39	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.27	-3	4	-7	14.8	14.8	0.05	15.1	15.0	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.45,0.77,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, MIL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.55,0.67,0.85,1	90.7%
POR 89, DET 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.63,0.86,0.74,1	90.0%
NJN 84, CLE 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.23,0.22,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.55,0.78,0.91,1	89.8%