NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	113		Excitement	3.0 [1164]		MVP	Metta World Peace (IND): +22.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Comeback	1.0 [1018]		LVP	Ricky Davis (CLE): -16.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.21	0.01	0.00	13	88%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	15	53%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	62%	0.07	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.03	14	64%	0.07	3	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	16	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.02	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	7	40%	0.01	5	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	15	58%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	8	37%	-0.02	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	14	31%	-0.07	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	0.03	11	50%	-0.05	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	0.02	22	39%	-0.07	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.3	30.4	14.5	25.2	1.8	25.2	123.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +45.1%

IND +2.3%

CLE -0.1%

IND +3.0%

CLE -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	13.5	14.7	15.5	109.7	88.1	101.6
season	15.4	15.1		102.2	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.5		104.3	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.2	12.8	14.7	14.5	13.5
CLE	16.6	13.4	14.1	14.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	78	79	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.21	25	-1	26	13.5	13.6	-0.05	14.4	16.0	-1.57
Jamaal Tinsley	83	82	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.25	24	0	24	13.3	14.6	-1.33	14.8	14.3	0.57
Brad Miller	66	67	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.20	21	3	18	13.5	13.6	-0.11	15.2	13.7	1.53
Al Harrington	67	67	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.20	20	4	16	12.8	14.9	-2.10	14.4	15.4	-0.99
Reggie Miller	49	50	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.19	15	9	6	13.7	13.3	0.40	15.0	14.4	0.59
Ron Mercer	54	51	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.02	9	15	-6	13.3	13.7	-0.40	14.4	15.0	-0.59
Jeff Foster	26	24	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	21	-18	15.1	13.0	2.08	15.0	14.6	0.31
Erick Strickland	34	32	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	22	-20	13.8	13.4	0.45	15.3	14.5	0.82
Austin Croshere	41	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	23	-22	14.3	13.0	1.24	14.1	15.1	-1.06
Primoz Brezec	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	13.1	13.6	-0.49	15.2	14.6	0.55

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	24	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-26	28	14.9	14.7	0.25	14.5	13.2	1.26
DeSagana Diop	40	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-21	18	13.4	15.6	-2.19	14.1	13.1	0.95
Darius Miles	44	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-20	16	14.5	14.9	-0.35	14.7	12.6	2.11
Milt Palacio	16	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-21	18	11.9	15.2	-3.31	14.2	13.4	0.78
Dajuan Wagner	61	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-13	2	14.3	15.4	-1.12	13.3	13.9	-0.55
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	51	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-13	2	15.1	14.4	0.72	13.4	13.6	-0.18
Smush Parker	59	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.23	-18	-6	-12	15.8	13.1	2.70	12.6	14.8	-2.17
Tyrone Hill	53	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-9	-6	15.1	14.3	0.86	12.5	14.7	-2.23
Jumaine Jones	48	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.22	-20	-4	-16	16.2	13.4	2.83	13.0	13.9	-0.90
Carlos Boozer	34	35	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.25	-21	-3	-18	15.0	14.6	0.37	13.9	13.3	0.63
Ricky Davis	75	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.05	-16	-8	-8	14.0	16.9	-2.96	13.9	12.6	1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 105, OKC 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
WAS 107, CHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
SAS 126, GSW 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%