NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	89		Excitement	6.1 [562]		MVP	Juwan Howard (DEN): +15.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	2.8 [705]		LVP	Junior Harrington (DEN): -26.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.15	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	18	65%	0.19	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.00
Vincent Yarbrough	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.01	0.04	10	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	100%	0.14	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	6	56%	-0.02	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.00
Predrag Savovic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	6	23%	-0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Rodney White	-0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	6	23%	-0.04	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.07	0.00	11	21%	-0.18	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Junior Harrington	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27	-0.18	-0.08	0.01	9	24%	-0.15	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.07	0.01	15	65%	0.21	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	4	64%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	10	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	100%	0.08
Chris Wilcox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	6	64%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	6	56%	0.01	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.04
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	11	55%	-0.05	2	-0.07	11	55%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	2.7	31.1	15.8	30.2	2.7	36.0	148.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +20.4%

LAC +22.7%

DEN -2.5%

LAC +6.4%

LAC +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	16.1	16.7	15.5	101.1	104.5	101.6
season	15.7	15.4		90.4	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.3	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.4	15.6	17.5	18.5	16.1
LAC	16.6	15.0	16.8	18.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Bowen	44	45	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.12	0	-3	3	15.2	16.9	-1.64	16.3	17.1	-0.80
Nene	49	49	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.15	9	-12	21	15.4	16.9	-1.54	16.7	16.6	0.08
Juwan Howard	65	66	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.36	12	-15	27	16.5	14.8	1.68	17.0	15.7	1.30
Vincent Yarbrough	53	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.31	9	-12	21	14.7	18.1	-3.44	16.1	17.5	-1.38
Junior Harrington	72	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.22	1	-4	5	16.7	13.2	3.44	17.5	12.6	4.89
Rodney White	32	33	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	4	-11	17.2	15.4	1.81	17.4	16.2	1.13
Predrag Savovic	20	19	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	8	-19	15.5	16.2	-0.67	14.0	17.4	-3.39
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	28	28	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	1	-5	15.0	16.6	-1.62	16.2	16.9	-0.65
Mark Blount	39	39	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.26	-12	9	-21	16.9	15.4	1.54	16.6	16.7	-0.08
Donnell Harvey	38	36	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.31	-12	9	-21	17.1	15.3	1.83	16.8	16.6	0.20

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tremaine Fowlkes	84	83	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.34	12	-9	21	16.5	20.5	-4.02	16.2	13.2	3.04
Marko Jaric	78	78	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.45	1	2	-1	16.8	15.4	1.42	16.4	13.3	3.12
Sean Rooks	39	39	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	-1	5	15.1	17.9	-2.89	17.0	15.3	1.67
Michael Olowokandi	76	77	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	4	-5	17.7	9.9	7.81	16.1	16.2	-0.13
Keyon Dooling	41	41	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.32	-1	4	-5	16.0	17.2	-1.14	17.0	15.3	1.70
Wang Zhi-zhi	24	23	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	3	-3	17.9	16.2	1.73	15.9	16.1	-0.27
Chris Wilcox	25	25	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	-2	7	15.2	17.2	-1.98	16.6	15.9	0.74
Andre Miller	63	63	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	9	-15	16.6	16.8	-0.25	14.6	19.8	-5.16
Melvin Ely	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	2	-1	18.6	16.4	2.19	13.3	16.5	-3.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	93.6%
MIA 82, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.6,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	93.2%
CHI 109, DAL 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.6,0.41,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%