NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	106		Excitement	8.3 [204]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): +27.8%
Golden State Warriors	111		Comeback	1.7 [425]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (GSW): -18.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	17	66%	0.17	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	13	63%	0.08	0	0.00	12	100%	0.10
Jamaal Magloire	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	58%	0.00	0	0.00	10	80%	0.04
Robert Traylor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
George Lynch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.08
Courtney Alexander	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.05,0,-0.12	-0.01	-0.13	-0.02	20	51%	0.00	2	-0.12	5	100%	0.07

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.14	0.00	22	66%	0.30	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.08
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.11	0.00	6	68%	0.17	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.02
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	16	53%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	5	71%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.05
Oscar Torres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	17	51%	-0.07	3	-0.12	9	67%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	27.5	16.3	27.5	2.4	36.2	134.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +46.0%

NOH -33.4%

GSW +33.1%

GSW +5.3%

NOH -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	GSW	NBA	NOH	GSW	NBA
this game	14.3	15.3	15.5	110.4	112.1	101.6
season	15.9	14.6		101.6	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.8	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.3	13.8	15.0	14.1	14.3
GSW	13.4	15.0	16.3	16.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	5	4	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-5	5	14.0	14.3	-0.27	14.0	15.3	-1.32
Jamaal Magloire	57	59	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.15	4	-9	13	13.8	15.0	-1.20	14.8	16.0	-1.20
George Lynch	3	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-2	-1	11.3	14.4	-3.02	17.0	15.2	1.81
Stacey Augmon	12	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	0	-5	14.8	14.2	0.65	14.8	15.3	-0.49
David Wesley	77	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-8	11	14.1	14.7	-0.59	15.2	15.7	-0.55
Courtney Alexander	20	22	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	6	-17	13.0	14.6	-1.59	16.0	15.1	0.95
Baron Davis	87	89	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-6	7	14.5	12.3	2.13	15.2	16.0	-0.82
P.J. Brown	88	91	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.38	-2	-3	1	14.4	13.0	1.38	15.2	15.5	-0.26
Elden Campbell	39	40	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.20	-9	4	-13	15.0	13.8	1.20	16.0	14.8	1.20
Jamal Mashburn	92	95	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-2	-1	14.4	11.7	2.62	15.3	14.0	1.32

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	90	87	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-3	11	15.4	14.1	1.27	14.0	16.7	-2.66
Earl Boykins	41	40	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.43	3	2	1	16.0	14.8	1.18	13.5	14.8	-1.26
Antawn Jamison	90	88	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	3	-1	15.4	13.8	1.63	14.4	13.0	1.38
Gilbert Arenas	80	78	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	1	3	14.7	17.5	-2.74	14.3	14.0	0.32
Adonal Foyle	48	46	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.11	9	-4	13	15.4	15.2	0.18	14.4	14.1	0.29
Mike Dunleavy	13	12	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	0	5	13.7	15.5	-1.81	14.8	14.2	0.65
Erick Dampier	51	50	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	9	-13	15.2	15.4	-0.18	14.1	14.4	-0.29
Jason Richardson	72	69	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	5	-5	15.7	14.2	1.43	14.4	14.0	0.36
Chris Mills	10	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	7	-9	13.5	15.5	-1.96	16.5	14.0	2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.41,0.4,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.9,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 90, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.61,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.91,0.96,1	92.1%
HOU 97, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.84,1	91.9%
TOR 70, ATL 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.86,0.83,1	91.9%