inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 140 Excitement11.5 [24] MVPSmush Parker (CLE): +28.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers 133 Comeback7.3 [209] LVPDajuan Wagner (CLE): -20.9%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.220.220.020.021780%0.251-0.021090%0.10
Anthony Mason0.210,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.210.080.13-0.00775%0.2100.002100%0.01
Tim Thomas0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.010.07-0.001461%0.143-0.06875%-0.24
Sam Cassell0.060,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.12,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.060.09-0.05-0.012264%0.082-0.031776%-0.00
Ray Allen0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.000.042652%0.041-0.022100%0.00
Joel Przybilla0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Dan Gadzuric-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.03250%0.023-0.0400%0.00
Ervin Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kevin Ollie-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Jason Caffey-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.090.00-0.0230%-0.042-0.0300%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Smush Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.14,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.280.280.050.19-0.041177%0.384-0.104100%0.15
Ricky Davis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.36,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.040.040.060.070.093361%0.266-0.21887%0.02
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.030.051158%0.042-0.052100%0.07
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jumaine Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.011145%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.010.01560%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.01-0.050.001851%-0.021-0.02367%-0.01
Tyrone Hill0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.050.00943%-0.071-0.02333%-0.02
Dajuan Wagner0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.16-0.09-0.03639%-0.045-0.17683%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game20.92.531.214.422.62.228.51.520.80.718.0163.4
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.91.917.21.917.2149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +39.1%
CLE -58.1%
MIL +27.9%
MIL +45.3%
CLE -4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILCLENBAMILCLENBA
this game14.914.915.5118.6114.7101.6
season15.415.1106.394.6
opponent14.915.8104.3106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIL15.214.016.216.714.515.4
CLE14.816.713.814.612.714.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Allen92890.67-0.170.840.3212-51715.114.20.8515.612.33.28
Joel Przybilla39410.65-0.150.800.2414-72115.014.80.1315.814.31.51
Michael Redd76740.63-0.130.760.2214-72114.515.5-0.9814.615.3-0.64
Sam Cassell1021010.57-0.070.630.1614-72115.212.92.3314.715.9-1.16
Anthony Mason96920.290.210.080.2325-314.915.0-0.1414.814.9-0.03
Tim Thomas73690.280.220.050.1352314.415.7-1.3314.415.6-1.18
Jason Caffey25270.200.30-0.110.1134-115.414.70.7015.614.60.92
Dan Gadzuric20210.080.42-0.340.0807-716.314.61.7615.414.70.64
Ervin Johnson2120-0.390.89-1.29-0.16-815-2314.215.0-0.7914.814.9-0.06
Kevin Ollie4646-0.470.97-1.440.15-2128-4914.515.1-0.5713.315.9-2.57

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Boozer63670.04-0.540.57-0.208-152313.816.1-2.2215.214.50.63
DeSagana Diop55-0.13-0.370.240.05-6-1-520.614.66.0121.414.66.80
Smush Parker6263-0.15-0.350.20-0.326-131913.916.0-2.0815.014.80.20
Milt Palacio5353-0.25-0.250.00-0.02-81-916.213.72.5315.014.80.27
Jumaine Jones5960-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.09-6-1-514.015.7-1.7014.914.80.12
Zydrunas Ilgauskas7171-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.290-7715.513.91.5414.914.9-0.04
Dajuan Wagner8487-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.22-6-1-514.615.5-0.8915.114.20.99
Ricky Davis111112-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.31-5-2-314.914.40.4714.619.5-4.86
Tyrone Hill7272-0.600.10-0.69-0.07-1811-2915.513.81.7414.016.2-2.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.21,0.16,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.37,0.14,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 100, DAL 1040.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.2,0.38,0.21,0.45,0.63,186.9%
SEA 115, WAS 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.25,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.06,0.08,086.3%
TOR 103, IND 1050.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.31,0.15,0.15,0.26,186.1%