NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	97		Excitement	5.2 [757]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +17.3%
Washington Wizards	100		Comeback	1.2 [950]		LVP	Howard Eisley (NYK): -15.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	13	62%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.00	5	107%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	14	53%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	15	53%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lee Nailon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	59%	0.07	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.05	0.03	10	92%	0.20	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.06
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	15	59%	0.15	4	-0.08	7	100%	0.11
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	18	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.02	7	79%	0.07	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	8	22%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	29.8	15.0	23.2	2.5	32.5	127.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -9.6%

WAS +34.1%

WAS +22.1%

WAS +2.1%

WAS +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	15.9	15.1	15.5	105.4	106.4	101.6
season	15.6	16.5		102.6	100.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.9	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.8	16.5	17.3	15.2	15.9
WAS	14.6	16.3	14.0	15.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	11	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	1	-5	17.5	15.7	1.74	16.3	14.9	1.40
Charlie Ward	52	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.49	12	-15	27	16.0	15.8	0.26	15.4	14.6	0.83
Othella Harrington	56	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.32	6	-9	15	15.7	16.2	-0.54	15.7	13.9	1.80
Lee Nailon	9	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	1	-5	16.3	15.9	0.45	12.6	15.3	-2.75
Shandon Anderson	42	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-8	13	15.9	15.9	0.01	16.1	14.2	1.85
Clar. Weatherspoon	31	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	4	-11	16.5	15.6	0.89	15.1	15.0	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	82	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.41	3	-6	9	15.6	18.5	-2.89	14.7	17.8	-3.13
Howard Eisley	36	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	11	-25	15.6	16.1	-0.51	14.4	15.5	-1.11
Kurt Thomas	76	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-3	3	15.7	16.7	-1.00	14.9	15.9	-0.99
Allan Houston	65	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	9	-21	16.2	15.3	0.89	14.7	15.9	-1.15

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	70	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-4	11	15.0	15.2	-0.26	15.8	16.2	-0.35
Brendan Haywood	42	42	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-10	23	14.7	15.4	-0.70	16.2	15.7	0.58
Christian Laettner	76	74	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.41	-3	6	-9	14.9	15.9	-1.03	15.8	16.6	-0.85
Larry Hughes	66	64	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	2	-1	14.0	17.5	-3.54	15.1	17.7	-2.57
Charles Oakley	35	36	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.23	3	0	3	16.3	14.3	2.01	16.1	15.8	0.31
Bryon Russell	44	43	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	0	3	14.7	15.4	-0.66	16.5	15.4	1.06
Tyronn Lue	28	28	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	1	1	17.5	14.0	3.54	17.7	15.1	2.57
Jerry Stackhouse	78	73	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.40	-8	11	-19	14.6	17.4	-2.87	15.3	18.5	-3.21
Etan Thomas	31	29	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	6	-9	16.5	14.3	2.18	16.7	15.6	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.85,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 82, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	94.5%
SAS 91, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	94.5%
DEN 99, BOS 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%