NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	91		Excitement	7.3 [345]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +17.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	1.3 [1120]		LVP	Jason Williams (MEM): -15.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	6	79%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Wesley Person	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	11	57%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	11	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	62%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	15	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Mike Batiste	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.07	0.00	10	50%	-0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Drew Gooden	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	12	41%	-0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	12	39%	-0.05	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Jason Williams	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.04	6	0%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.09	0.02	16	73%	0.24	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	6	92%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	70%	0.16	6	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Soumaila Samake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.07	-0.04	21	52%	0.00	3	-0.09	12	67%	-0.04
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	4	40%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.6	24.7	16.5	28.3	2.4	30.9	127.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +75.9%

MEM -5.9%

MEM -1.3%

MEM -19.4%

LAL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.1	15.5	93.8	103.1	101.6
season	15.3	15.4		101.8	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.2		102.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.9	15.3	16.0	15.8	15.5
LAL	12.9	14.0	14.7	14.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	49	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-14	18	14.5	16.5	-2.03	14.4	13.7	0.67
Stromile Swift	41	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.20	5	-15	20	15.9	15.2	0.75	15.3	13.2	2.04
Wesley Person	55	55	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-14	18	15.2	15.9	-0.68	15.1	12.7	2.33
Mike Batiste	41	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-14	18	15.6	15.4	0.20	14.8	13.5	1.31
Earl Watson	43	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-13	16	16.0	15.1	0.95	15.1	13.2	1.87
Drew Gooden	45	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	2	-14	16.0	15.0	0.98	13.6	14.4	-0.75
Jason Williams	54	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.00	-13	3	-16	15.1	16.0	-0.95	13.2	15.1	-1.87
Shane Battier	56	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	4	-18	15.4	15.6	-0.20	13.5	14.8	-1.31
Gordan Giricek	42	43	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	4	-18	15.9	15.2	0.68	12.7	15.1	-2.33
Pau Gasol	59	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.09	-17	7	-24	15.6	15.3	0.34	13.3	15.3	-2.03

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	70	69	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.11	18	-8	26	13.5	15.5	-1.98	15.8	14.8	0.95
Rick Fox	60	59	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.07	19	-9	28	13.0	15.6	-2.58	15.8	15.0	0.81
Shaquille O'Neal	78	77	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.17	15	-5	20	13.7	15.4	-1.69	16.1	13.1	3.02
Kobe Bryant	86	84	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.16	14	-4	18	13.9	14.9	-0.99	15.2	17.5	-2.27
Mark Madsen	23	23	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.08	13	-3	16	13.7	14.2	-0.52	16.6	15.2	1.40
Robert Horry	57	56	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	9	-8	13.6	14.6	-1.00	14.5	16.8	-2.27
Soumaila Samake	15	12	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	11	-12	15.0	13.9	1.12	13.2	15.8	-2.66
Brian Shaw	23	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	14	-18	15.4	13.6	1.81	16.9	15.1	1.77
Devean George	38	38	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.14	-9	19	-28	15.6	13.0	2.58	15.0	15.8	-0.81
Slava Medvedenko	23	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.11	-8	18	-26	16.0	13.4	2.60	15.8	15.4	0.48
Kareem Rush	17	19	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	18	-26	15.1	13.8	1.29	14.3	15.8	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.59,0.83,0.8,0.97,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.74,0.54,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,0.98,1	93.5%
CHH 70, MIA 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.99,0.98,1,1	93.3%
DEN 111, SAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,1,1	93.3%