NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Excitement	8.0 [250]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): +25.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	107		Comeback	5.5 [63]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -18.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.12	0.12	-0.01	12	71%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	-0.01	0.09	-0.00	6	58%	0.09	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.01
Gary Trent	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	13	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	44%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Loren Woods	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.09	0.08	-0.00	8	41%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	15	59%	0.03	2	-0.07	9	78%	0.01
Reggie Slater	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Soumaila Samake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	11	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	19	61%	0.05	3	-0.08	13	69%	-0.05
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Rick Fox	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	15	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19	-0.19	-0.01	-0.15	0.02	15	63%	0.02	5	-0.21	5	60%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	28.4	17.4	27.2	2.6	46.4	146.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +47.1%

MIN +8.9%

LAL -2.4%

LAL -0.3%

LAL -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	13.7	15.7	15.5	112.2	109.2	101.6
season	14.9	15.4		104.0	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.8		102.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.4	15.4	12.6	13.3	13.7
LAL	17.9	15.3	16.2	13.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	65	66	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.41	11	-8	19	13.7	13.5	0.18	15.2	16.8	-1.62
Anthony Peeler	62	63	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.40	9	-6	15	13.6	13.8	-0.18	15.1	16.9	-1.85
Reggie Slater	19	20	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-10	23	14.6	13.4	1.20	15.0	15.9	-0.91
Rod Strickland	39	40	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.19	8	-5	13	13.4	13.8	-0.38	15.8	15.7	0.09
Rasho Nesterovic	62	62	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	-1	5	14.2	12.7	1.53	15.9	15.4	0.53
Kendall Gill	61	62	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	8	-13	12.7	15.2	-2.54	15.5	16.2	-0.70
Troy Hudson	59	58	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	8	-13	13.8	13.4	0.38	15.7	15.8	-0.09
Marc Jackson	7	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	3	-3	12.0	13.8	-1.79	18.4	15.5	2.91
Kevin Garnett	79	77	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.22	-8	11	-19	13.9	12.6	1.28	16.0	14.8	1.16
Loren Woods	4	3	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	7	-11	14.0	13.6	0.35	23.0	15.5	7.51
Gary Trent	33	32	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.00	-8	11	-19	13.5	13.7	-0.18	16.8	15.2	1.62

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	30	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.31	8	-11	19	13.6	16.7	-3.06	13.6	13.7	-0.03
Rick Fox	63	65	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-8	13	16.1	15.1	1.04	13.1	14.8	-1.74
Mark Madsen	39	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	0	-3	15.0	16.2	-1.20	14.1	13.3	0.80
Soumaila Samake	20	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	3	-9	18.5	15.0	3.49	12.2	14.0	-1.84
Kareem Rush	20	20	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	2	-7	15.6	15.8	-0.16	14.2	13.5	0.74
Shaquille O'Neal	78	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-6	9	15.0	18.5	-3.49	14.0	12.2	1.84
Kobe Bryant	82	82	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-1	-1	16.0	14.4	1.54	13.7	13.3	0.42
Derek Fisher	68	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-2	1	15.8	15.5	0.37	13.0	15.3	-2.34
Slava Medvedenko	55	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	3	-9	16.9	14.2	2.74	13.9	13.4	0.49
Devean George	35	33	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.18	-8	5	-13	15.1	16.1	-1.04	14.8	13.1	1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.71,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.31,0.46,0.61,0.38,0.22,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 116, MEM 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.68,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.46,0.24,0.11,0.03,0,0	90.5%
POR 89, SEA 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.16,0.09,0.04,0	90.3%
NJN 105, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.5,0.52,0.33,0.24,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.6,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.04,0	90.1%