NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	93		Excitement	6.1 [559]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +9.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	86		Comeback	3.7 [212]		LVP	Jeff McInnis (POR): -25.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.04	0.03	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Anthony Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	52%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.2,-0.16,-0.04,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	17	67%	0.24	7	-0.23	8	87%	-0.03
Kenyon Martin	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Tamar Slay	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	3	70%	-0.00	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.03
Rodney Rogers	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	7	37%	-0.06	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	10	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	16	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	47%	-0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	5	54%	0.01	5	-0.15	3	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.25	-0.25	-0.10	-0.15	-0.00	11	18%	-0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.7	28.2	14.8	27.8	1.5	32.3	133.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +56.0%

NJN +23.5%

POR -21.1%

POR -10.5%

NJN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	POR	NBA	NJN	POR	NBA
this game	14.6	15.7	15.5	97.9	90.5	101.6
season	15.0	16.0		101.1	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.9		101.8	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	14.2	13.7	15.8	14.6
POR	13.4	15.8	16.9	17.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	74	74	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.01	24	-17	41	13.9	17.0	-3.12	16.5	12.9	3.58
Jason Collins	59	59	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.14	15	-8	23	14.1	15.4	-1.33	16.7	14.1	2.59
Jason Kidd	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	-7	21	14.1	17.1	-2.94	15.5	16.6	-1.04
Kerry Kittles	45	47	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	-7	21	14.0	15.2	-1.14	15.7	15.6	0.10
Kenyon Martin	54	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	0	7	15.0	14.2	0.79	16.7	14.3	2.37
Rodney Rogers	48	46	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.38	-9	16	-25	15.1	14.1	0.98	14.3	17.0	-2.74
Lucious Harris	38	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.10	7	0	7	14.4	14.7	-0.29	14.3	16.6	-2.30
Anthony Johnson	16	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.17	-7	14	-21	17.1	14.1	2.94	16.6	15.5	1.04
Aaron Williams	36	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.16	-8	15	-23	15.4	14.1	1.33	14.1	16.7	-2.59
Tamar Slay	3	4	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	16	-25	20.0	14.4	5.55	9.2	16.0	-6.73

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	42	43	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.47	21	-28	49	14.6	16.6	-2.01	14.9	14.4	0.48
Ruben Patterson	47	46	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.51	19	-26	45	15.5	15.9	-0.36	15.6	13.7	1.91
Arvydas Sabonis	50	50	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.31	12	-19	31	15.1	16.4	-1.30	14.6	14.7	-0.09
Damon Stoudamire	32	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.39	12	-19	31	15.5	15.8	-0.29	14.7	14.6	0.16
Antonio Daniels	8	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	2	-11	20.0	15.3	4.70	13.1	14.8	-1.63
Zach Randolph	35	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-12	17	16.1	15.5	0.57	14.1	15.0	-0.88
Derek Anderson	55	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	3	-13	15.2	16.4	-1.22	14.8	14.4	0.36
Rasheed Wallace	54	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	6	-19	15.5	16.0	-0.54	14.7	14.5	0.19
Dale Davis	45	45	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.02	-19	12	-31	16.4	15.1	1.30	14.7	14.6	0.09
Bonzi Wells	54	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.19	-25	18	-43	15.9	15.5	0.36	14.1	15.3	-1.28
Scottie Pippen	53	52	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	0.17	-28	21	-49	16.6	14.6	2.01	14.4	14.9	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.36,0.33,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 101, WAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.36,0.23,0.15,0	91.9%
NYK 109, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.25,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.32,0.26,0	91.2%
UTA 113, SAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.42,0	90.5%