NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	6.1 [556]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (PHI): +13.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	2.0 [858]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -23.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.05	-0.02	17	61%	0.16	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Aaron McKie	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	10	60%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.04	0.02	26	48%	0.03	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Brian Skinner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Greg Buckner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	14	48%	0.00	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	73%	0.07	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	75%	0.09	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	26	51%	0.05	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	9	40%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	3	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	8	28%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.06	-0.17	0.01	17	49%	-0.19	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.5	28.4	15.5	25.5	2.3	30.7	131.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +20.8%

PHI +18.0%

CLE -23.3%

PHI +32.3%

PHI +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	15.5	109.3	102.1	101.6
season	15.3	15.1		102.1	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.5		104.3	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.3	17.5	13.7	15.7	15.0
CLE	14.3	13.8	14.5	16.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	69	71	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.16	16	-9	25	15.2	14.3	0.96	16.0	11.3	4.72
Eric Snow	77	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-8	23	14.6	16.5	-1.99	14.9	14.1	0.80
Keith Van Horn	75	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	0	7	15.5	13.1	2.43	14.7	14.8	-0.10
Todd MacCulloch	72	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	2	3	15.4	13.8	1.52	15.1	13.6	1.51
Allen Iverson	90	88	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	3	1	14.4	22.4	-8.04	14.2	19.7	-5.45
Derrick Coleman	20	18	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	4	-1	13.4	15.4	-1.98	15.6	14.5	1.02
Greg Buckner	42	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	11	-15	15.9	14.3	1.57	14.2	15.1	-0.93
Brian Skinner	26	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.06	-3	10	-13	13.9	15.4	-1.48	13.8	15.0	-1.19
John Salmons	14	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.19	-8	15	-23	16.2	14.8	1.46	10.9	15.4	-4.52

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Smush Parker	19	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.28	9	-16	25	15.2	14.6	0.61	14.9	15.0	-0.03
Jumaine Jones	59	59	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.38	12	-19	31	14.4	15.2	-0.72	16.0	13.3	2.67
DeSagana Diop	30	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-6	5	15.1	14.6	0.55	14.7	15.1	-0.34
Carlos Boozer	44	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-13	19	16.1	13.6	2.46	16.5	13.7	2.81
Bimbo Coles	31	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	5	-17	15.0	14.6	0.41	13.6	15.7	-2.04
Tyrone Hill	53	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	6	-19	13.6	16.1	-2.46	13.7	16.5	-2.81
Dajuan Wagner	87	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-5	3	14.5	16.9	-2.43	14.6	18.2	-3.60
Ricky Davis	57	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	8	-23	14.7	14.8	-0.09	15.1	14.7	0.41
Milt Palacio	38	37	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	6	-19	15.3	14.3	0.98	15.1	14.9	0.27
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	67	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-1	-5	14.6	15.1	-0.55	15.1	14.7	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.3,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 101, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
LAC 117, HOU 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.8%
UTA 91, PHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	92.6%