NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	101		Excitement	3.8 [1025]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +22.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	84		Comeback	2.0 [291]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (ORL): -9.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.06	-0.05	29	62%	0.23	2	-0.00	8	87%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.18	0.01	0.08	11	86%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.02	7	79%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	61%	0.04	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.04
Jacque Vaughn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	1	50%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Olumide Oyedeji	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeryl Sasser	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	-0.06	21	51%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Joseph Forte	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.03	8	55%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	14	46%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	13	54%	0.04	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	11	47%	-0.05	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	46.2	2.5	28.5	16.0	23.2	2.3	26.5	145.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +58.2%

SEA -9.1%

SEA -1.2%

ORL +1.9%

ORL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	SEA	NBA	ORL	SEA	NBA
this game	15.9	16.2	15.5	114.8	92.3	101.6
season	14.6	16.5		102.7	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.1	11.5	19.5	17.3	15.9
SEA	16.6	18.2	17.5	12.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	59	63	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.08	21	-4	25	16.6	14.5	2.13	18.1	12.0	6.06
Tracy McGrady	75	78	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.06	20	-3	23	16.3	13.6	2.73	17.1	11.2	5.92
Pat Garrity	68	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.08	19	-2	21	16.7	13.5	3.16	17.2	12.5	4.68
Mike Miller	58	60	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	3	11	14.7	18.3	-3.58	15.8	17.1	-1.31
Grant Hill	54	58	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.15	14	3	11	16.5	15.1	1.44	17.0	14.8	2.22
Shawn Kemp	31	31	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	14	-11	17.4	15.2	2.23	18.5	15.1	3.42
Ryan Humphrey	25	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	15	-13	13.3	17.0	-3.66	14.1	17.0	-2.92
Jeryl Sasser	3	3	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	18	-19	19.3	15.8	3.51	9.0	16.5	-7.48
Olumide Oyedeji	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	19.3	15.8	3.51	9.0	16.5	-7.48
Pat Burke	35	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	19	-21	14.9	16.7	-1.80	12.5	18.6	-6.09
Jacque Vaughn	29	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	21	-25	14.5	16.6	-2.13	12.0	18.1	-6.06

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joseph Forte	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	12.5	16.4	-3.90	19.2	15.8	3.46
Calvin Booth	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-17	17	14.7	16.4	-1.64	12.1	16.3	-4.13
Ansu Sesay	26	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.19	-9	-8	-1	15.2	16.6	-1.45	14.2	16.7	-2.49
Vladimir Radmanovic	73	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-10	3	16.5	15.0	1.53	16.0	15.9	0.07
Predrag Drobnjak	46	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-6	-5	17.2	15.2	2.04	17.1	14.8	2.30
Brent Barry	76	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	-4	-9	16.5	15.1	1.39	15.8	16.7	-0.95
Desmond Mason	61	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.05	-16	-1	-15	15.4	18.0	-2.64	14.9	18.0	-3.12
Rashard Lewis	82	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.01	-16	-1	-15	16.6	12.4	4.20	16.1	14.6	1.55
Gary Payton	76	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.03	-15	-2	-13	16.2	16.2	0.04	16.7	12.1	4.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
IND 97, NYK 79	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
DAL 105, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%