NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	88		Excitement	2.0 [1255]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): +7.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	112		Comeback	1.0 [1129]		LVP	Michael Olowokandi (LAC): -12.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	68%	0.03	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	9	57%	0.02	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	4	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Elton Brand	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	9	40%	-0.01	2	-0.01	7	57%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	8	25%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	0.00	0.04	7	57%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.19	0.00	-0.07	10	35%	-0.05	5	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	14	66%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	60%	0.05	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	5	61%	-0.01	4	0.02	8	87%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	15	70%	0.06	5	-0.06	10	90%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.13	0.00	-0.12	7	25%	0.01	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	4	87%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.04	13	61%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.7	31.0	14.8	31.8	1.7	26.4	134.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +28.6%

POR +9.2%

POR +6.4%

POR +6.6%

LAC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.5	91.7	116.7	101.6
season	15.4	16.0		100.2	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.4		101.8	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.5	13.8	16.3	14.0	15.1
POR	13.5	15.0	15.0	16.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wang Zhi-zhi	20	19	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-32	40	13.2	15.6	-2.42	16.1	14.6	1.46
Chris Wilcox	22	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-33	42	13.4	15.6	-2.21	16.2	14.5	1.68
Tremaine Fowlkes	25	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.16	3	-27	30	13.2	15.8	-2.59	15.6	14.6	0.91
Sean Rooks	22	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.13	-8	-16	8	15.0	15.1	-0.09	14.2	15.1	-0.88
Keyon Dooling	57	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	-16	8	14.4	16.1	-1.71	14.8	15.0	-0.15
Marko Jaric	58	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-23	22	14.6	15.9	-1.33	15.1	14.6	0.42
Eric Piatkowski	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-14	4	15.5	14.8	0.74	15.1	14.7	0.41
Andre Miller	61	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.27	-22	-2	-20	15.6	14.2	1.44	14.8	15.0	-0.23
Corey Maggette	46	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.58	-34	10	-44	16.6	13.7	2.87	14.3	15.4	-1.15
Michael Olowokandi	70	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.39	-28	4	-32	15.7	13.5	2.27	14.3	16.4	-2.13
Elton Brand	58	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.39	-29	5	-34	15.7	14.2	1.50	15.0	14.7	0.31

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	63	63	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.52	32	-8	40	14.0	16.5	-2.44	15.6	14.2	1.42
Rasheed Wallace	54	54	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.46	29	-5	34	14.6	15.3	-0.75	16.2	13.7	2.45
Scottie Pippen	45	46	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.33	24	0	24	15.6	14.2	1.39	15.8	14.5	1.37
Bonzi Wells	60	60	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.43	27	-3	30	14.2	16.0	-1.83	15.5	14.4	1.12
Dale Davis	43	45	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.26	17	7	10	14.8	15.0	-0.21	15.5	14.8	0.66
Arvydas Sabonis	19	17	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	12	0	14.4	15.0	-0.58	15.7	15.0	0.72
Jeff McInnis	60	59	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	23	-22	14.7	15.1	-0.36	14.5	16.1	-1.57
Ruben Patterson	46	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	23	-22	15.5	14.3	1.14	14.6	15.6	-0.97
Zach Randolph	42	42	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.25	-5	29	-34	15.3	14.6	0.75	13.7	16.2	-2.45
Antonio Daniels	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.27	-9	33	-42	16.0	14.5	1.54	14.0	15.5	-1.54
Qyntel Woods	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.27	-9	33	-42	16.0	14.5	1.54	14.0	15.5	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, LAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
UTA 76, SAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
WAS 101, NJN 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	97.6%