NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	72		Excitement	6.3 [533]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (TOR): +7.1%
San Antonio Spurs	91		Comeback	1.9 [882]		LVP	Antonio Davis (TOR): -21.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	14	55%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Michael Bradley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Jefferies	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Jerome Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	9	22%	-0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	7	29%	-0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.05	-0.05	21	36%	-0.11	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.18	-0.07	-0.04	12	31%	-0.10	3	-0.11	8	75%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	7	79%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	79%	0.07	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	52%	-0.02	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	17	52%	0.05	4	-0.12	8	75%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	7	39%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.07
David Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.00	9	30%	-0.07	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	30.4	16.4	30.5	2.3	29.5	134.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +36.8%

SAS +4.0%

TOR -10.8%

SAS +17.7%

SAS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SAS	NBA	TOR	SAS	NBA
this game	15.6	14.5	15.5	75.8	94.8	101.6
season	16.2	15.7		98.8	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		96.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.2	15.3	16.4	18.1	15.6
SAS	15.0	13.0	14.3	16.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Jefferies	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-16	13	17.6	15.5	2.09	9.3	14.9	-5.56
Vince Carter	67	67	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.09	-5	-14	9	15.0	17.2	-2.26	15.4	12.6	2.80
Jelani McCoy	67	66	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.13	-7	-12	5	14.8	17.6	-2.77	14.1	15.4	-1.30
Morris Peterson	44	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.14	-8	-11	3	15.1	16.1	-1.03	15.0	14.1	0.90
Mamadou N'diaye	9	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-15	11	17.8	15.4	2.38	12.2	14.8	-2.67
Antonio Davis	71	70	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-14	9	15.1	17.1	-1.96	15.5	12.0	3.54
Jerome Williams	22	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	-12	5	18.2	14.8	3.33	14.3	14.6	-0.31
Alvin Williams	60	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.15	-1	-18	17	14.4	17.7	-3.31	14.0	15.5	-1.49
Voshon Lenard	62	63	-0.51	0.00	-0.51	-0.09	-14	-5	-9	16.3	14.3	1.97	13.9	15.8	-1.90
Michael Bradley	21	22	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.11	-15	-4	-11	16.3	15.4	0.85	14.1	14.7	-0.53
Lindsey Hunter	47	48	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.09	-26	7	-33	17.5	13.7	3.78	15.1	14.0	1.17

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Kerr	50	50	0.85	-0.35	1.19	-0.01	29	-10	39	16.0	12.9	3.09	17.9	13.1	4.77
Speedy Claxton	41	41	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.02	25	-6	31	14.8	14.4	0.42	18.0	13.8	4.23
Stephen Jackson	48	45	0.74	-0.24	0.99	-0.05	27	-8	35	13.7	15.3	-1.58	17.4	14.0	3.46
Malik Rose	39	38	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.11	17	2	15	14.4	14.7	-0.31	17.1	14.7	2.39
Tim Duncan	78	78	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	11	-3	15.3	11.1	4.29	15.5	16.2	-0.68
David Robinson	62	63	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	10	-1	14.9	13.9	0.98	14.8	17.2	-2.46
Kevin Willis	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	9.3	14.9	-5.56	17.6	15.5	2.09
Danny Ferry	7	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.09	1	18	-17	8.0	15.1	-7.06	15.2	15.7	-0.49
Bruce Bowen	48	50	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.01	-8	27	-35	15.3	13.7	1.58	14.0	17.4	-3.46
Manu Ginobili	45	44	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.05	-8	27	-35	13.2	15.7	-2.48	13.3	17.6	-4.25
Tony Parker	56	55	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.09	-8	27	-35	14.1	15.1	-1.04	13.6	18.4	-4.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 83, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.71,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
BOS 79, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.8%
CHI 88, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.6%