NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	79		Excitement	3.1 [1132]		MVP	Bruce Bowen (SAS): +8.5%
San Antonio Spurs	87		Comeback	1.0 [1259]		LVP	James Posey (DEN): -9.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	13	66%	0.05	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	6	73%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mengke Bateer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Donnell Harvey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	9	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
George McCloud	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.14	0.04	-0.05	7	29%	0.01	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.05
Calbert Cheaney	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	12	32%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
James Posey	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	9	38%	-0.04	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.08	0.01	-0.10	11	54%	0.07	5	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	61%	0.02	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	9	57%	0.04	3	-0.03	10	60%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Bryant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.8	28.1	17.7	28.0	1.8	32.1	135.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +30.4%

SAS +0.1%

SAS +6.3%

SAS +10.5%

SAS +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SAS	NBA	DEN	SAS	NBA
this game	17.2	16.5	15.6	92.9	101.2	102.3
season	16.1	15.8		99.7	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.2		98.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	19.2	18.2	16.5	15.0	17.2
SAS	13.0	16.9	17.0	19.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	31	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.31	9	-17	26	15.6	18.2	-2.60	18.3	15.4	2.82
Zendon Hamilton	23	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-12	16	16.0	17.7	-1.75	17.0	16.2	0.78
Kenny Satterfield	40	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.36	8	-16	24	16.7	17.7	-0.96	16.7	16.2	0.55
Carlos Arroyo	7	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-2	-4	18.4	17.1	1.30	17.7	16.3	1.37
Voshon Lenard	52	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-14	20	16.1	19.1	-3.03	16.8	15.9	0.92
Mengke Bateer	38	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-4	0	17.0	17.4	-0.47	16.0	16.8	-0.78
Donnell Harvey	55	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.28	1	-9	10	16.8	18.0	-1.13	16.9	15.7	1.21
James Posey	33	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	3	-14	19.0	16.1	2.93	15.1	17.4	-2.31
Calbert Cheaney	42	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	7	-22	18.8	15.7	3.06	14.9	18.0	-3.14
George McCloud	46	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.11	-17	9	-26	17.9	16.5	1.43	16.3	16.6	-0.25
Juwan Howard	58	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	7	-22	17.8	16.1	1.70	16.5	16.3	0.16

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	55	54	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.14	21	-13	34	15.7	17.7	-1.96	17.3	17.2	0.12
Tony Parker	55	53	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.09	19	-11	30	16.3	16.7	-0.40	17.8	16.2	1.58
Tim Duncan	57	55	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.07	16	-8	24	14.9	19.4	-4.52	17.9	16.0	1.86
Malik Rose	57	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	8	-8	16.6	16.1	0.58	17.3	17.1	0.15
Steven Smith	40	39	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	-1	10	16.3	16.6	-0.33	18.5	16.2	2.36
David Robinson	31	32	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	-3	14	16.7	16.3	0.45	18.2	16.7	1.53
Danny Ferry	30	29	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	5	-2	15.0	17.2	-2.23	16.6	17.6	-0.93
Charles Smith	25	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.26	-7	15	-22	19.9	15.0	4.83	15.2	18.0	-2.82
Antonio Daniels	34	34	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.38	-11	19	-30	17.0	16.1	0.86	16.8	17.5	-0.78
Jason Hart	31	32	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.36	-11	19	-30	16.7	16.3	0.40	16.2	17.8	-1.58
Mark Bryant	9	10	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	14	-20	20.1	16.0	4.09	15.1	17.5	-2.42
Cherokee Parks	6	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	12	-16	19.8	16.2	3.63	14.7	17.5	-2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, ATL 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
DET 95, GSW 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
UTA 106, BOS 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	97.0%