NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	106		Excitement	3.1 [1192]		MVP	Gary Payton (BOS): +12.7%
Boston Celtics	114		Comeback	1.1 [1193]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -13.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	12	66%	0.05	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.02
Kris Humphries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aleksandar Radojevic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	12	65%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Curtis Borchardt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	0.00	0.07	12	61%	-0.03	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	0.00	-0.03	10	36%	-0.07	3	-0.05	8	50%	-0.03
Carlos Boozer	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	0.02	21	49%	-0.06	5	-0.08	9	56%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.00	0.02	13	87%	0.16	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	11	82%	0.10	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	79%	0.04	3	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	10	46%	0.01	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	59%	0.01	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	1	62%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	14	38%	-0.03	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	27.9	16.4	22.5	2.5	38.4	133.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +40.8%

BOS +6.4%

UTA -8.7%

BOS +10.2%

BOS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	BOS	NBA	UTA	BOS	NBA
this game	15.7	12.7	15.5	102.9	115.2	104.0
season	16.7	14.4		102.3	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.1		104.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.8	15.5	16.2	13.7	15.7
BOS	12.0	13.2	13.2	12.5	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aleksandar Radojevic	38	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.38	12	-20	32	13.7	17.0	-3.30	12.9	12.6	0.30
Curtis Borchardt	13	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-5	2	17.6	15.5	2.15	12.7	12.7	0.04
Gordan Giricek	44	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.36	9	-17	26	15.2	16.1	-0.93	12.3	13.0	-0.75
Kris Humphries	6	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-3	-2	18.7	15.6	3.11	14.2	12.7	1.60
Howard Eisley	44	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-8	8	15.4	16.0	-0.53	13.4	12.2	1.24
Kirk Snyder	7	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-5	2	13.7	15.9	-2.17	8.3	13.0	-4.67
Raul Lopez	12	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	1	-10	17.9	15.5	2.47	11.2	12.9	-1.73
Raja Bell	59	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	0	-8	16.2	15.1	1.13	13.2	12.1	1.08
Carlos Arroyo	58	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-10	12	15.1	16.5	-1.41	12.7	12.7	-0.04
Mehmet Okur	66	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-2	-4	16.8	13.9	2.92	12.8	12.5	0.28
Carlos Boozer	83	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	6	-20	15.3	17.3	-2.00	12.5	13.8	-1.36
Matt Harpring	85	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	7	-22	16.1	13.9	2.17	12.8	12.4	0.44

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	66	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.17	22	-14	36	13.0	12.1	0.94	15.9	15.4	0.48
Raef LaFrentz	68	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.19	22	-14	36	12.9	12.2	0.72	15.5	16.3	-0.74
Jiri Welsch	43	46	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.17	21	-13	34	12.3	13.0	-0.69	17.1	14.6	2.52
Paul Pierce	71	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	-7	22	13.1	11.9	1.20	16.0	15.0	1.01
Mark Blount	65	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	2	4	13.6	11.0	2.66	16.6	14.1	2.51
Al Jefferson	45	45	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.34	-7	15	-22	11.9	13.4	-1.48	14.7	16.5	-1.78
Tony Allen	23	23	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	10	-12	13.2	12.6	0.65	16.8	15.4	1.35
Walter McCarty	15	15	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	8	-8	12.5	12.7	-0.22	19.0	15.2	3.82
Ricky Davis	56	57	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.43	-13	21	-34	13.0	12.3	0.69	14.6	17.1	-2.52
Marcus Banks	33	37	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.43	-14	22	-36	12.1	13.0	-0.94	15.4	15.9	-0.48
Kendrick Perkins	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	13	-18	5.6	13.1	-7.50	6.8	16.2	-9.39
Justin Reed	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	13	-18	5.6	13.1	-7.50	6.8	16.2	-9.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 81, ATL 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
MIN 83, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
DEN 96, SAC 132	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%