NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	80		Excitement	8.3 [210]		MVP	Antonio Davis (TOR): +18.9%
Toronto Raptors	84		Comeback	5.1 [195]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): -74.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Magloire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	87%	0.10	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	71%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	70%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.09
Lee Nailon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.08	0.00	8	70%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
David Wesley	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	11	42%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Baron Davis	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.05	-0.02	13	25%	-0.11	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	-0.75	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.39,-0.75	-0.24	-0.51	-0.01	28	33%	-0.65	3	-0.10	8	62%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.13	0.00	16	71%	0.32	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.08
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.01	12	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	8	75%	0.06	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	8	39%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	7	29%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.28,-0.26	-0.26	-0.10	-0.18	-0.02	18	37%	-0.07	2	-0.19	4	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.4	27.1	15.8	23.0	2.5	39.5	136.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +71.6%

TOR +5.2%

CHH -1.8%

CHH -26.5%

TOR +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	TOR	NBA	CHH	TOR	NBA
this game	17.8	17.1	15.6	97.6	101.2	102.3
season	15.9	16.2		102.2	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		100.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.5	18.4	18.1	20.3	17.8
TOR	18.2	17.6	17.0	15.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	38	38	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.02	7	-11	18	16.5	18.9	-2.36	17.9	16.5	1.43
Lee Nailon	8	8	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-6	8	18.6	17.7	0.95	20.6	16.8	3.85
Stacey Augmon	33	33	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.14	-3	-1	-2	18.6	17.2	1.40	17.3	17.1	0.21
Jamaal Magloire	31	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	-1	-2	17.9	17.7	0.27	18.1	16.6	1.47
David Wesley	63	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-6	8	17.6	18.4	-0.78	17.4	16.4	0.94
P.J. Brown	68	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.47	-3	-1	-2	17.4	19.4	-1.92	17.0	18.1	-1.11
Jamal Mashburn	74	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.39	-6	2	-8	17.7	18.6	-0.95	16.8	20.6	-3.85
Baron Davis	74	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.39	-6	2	-8	17.7	18.6	-0.95	16.8	20.6	-3.85
George Lynch	21	22	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.44	-10	6	-16	20.4	16.9	3.58	15.5	17.7	-2.18

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alvin Williams	58	58	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.44	8	-4	12	16.5	18.6	-2.08	18.0	17.2	0.79
Antonio Davis	75	74	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.41	9	-5	14	16.9	19.1	-2.19	18.1	15.1	2.93
Jerome Williams	70	70	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.46	2	2	0	17.1	17.6	-0.56	17.5	19.4	-1.93
Morris Peterson	67	64	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.46	1	3	-2	17.4	15.9	1.57	17.8	17.6	0.27
Keon Clark	24	25	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	2	0	15.2	17.9	-2.67	18.4	17.5	0.97
Hakeem Olajuwon	37	35	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.08	10	-6	16	17.5	16.9	0.62	18.3	17.4	0.95
Chris Childs	42	42	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	6	-8	17.3	17.0	0.38	17.2	18.4	-1.18
Dell Curry	23	23	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.17	1	3	-2	18.5	16.6	1.84	19.4	17.1	2.32
Eric Montross	19	19	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.02	-11	15	-26	18.8	16.6	2.20	14.2	18.9	-4.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 87, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.11,0.28,0.57,0.58,1	91.3%
POR 91, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.74,1	91.2%
DEN 103, LAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.68,0.53,1	91.1%