NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	2.9 [1167]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +7.6%
San Antonio Spurs	99		Comeback	1.1 [974]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -13.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	16	72%	0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	5	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Erick Barkley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	8	56%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	5	8%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	12	37%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.17	-0.02	-0.05	13	17%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	-0.06	14	63%	0.10	3	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	9	73%	0.04	4	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	5	43%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	8	50%	-0.01	4	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.3	31.4	16.7	29.0	1.8	28.3	132.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +28.2%

SAS +10.6%

SAS +0.6%

SAS +5.7%

SAS +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	16.3	15.8	15.6	97.8	110.0	102.3
season	16.0	15.8		105.0	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.6		98.0	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.3	17.4	14.3	17.6	16.3
SAS	12.5	15.3	17.0	19.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-10	8	10.5	16.5	-5.97	6.0	16.1	-10.07
Steve Kerr	33	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.37	12	-24	36	16.5	16.2	0.28	18.7	14.1	4.55
Chris Dudley	18	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-14	16	15.3	16.6	-1.33	17.6	15.4	2.21
Shawn Kemp	33	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-16	20	14.9	17.2	-2.22	16.5	15.5	1.01
Erick Barkley	23	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-11	10	18.7	15.5	3.18	17.6	15.2	2.38
Derek Anderson	32	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.10	-5	-7	2	18.4	15.2	3.23	17.4	15.0	2.47
Scottie Pippen	44	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.15	-14	2	-16	15.7	17.0	-1.34	13.7	18.0	-4.31
Dale Davis	39	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	4	-20	16.3	16.3	-0.01	13.6	17.6	-4.02
Bonzi Wells	42	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	2	-16	16.6	16.1	0.44	14.4	17.1	-2.73
Ruben Patterson	51	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.28	-2	-10	8	16.3	16.4	-0.10	16.7	14.7	1.94
Damon Stoudamire	66	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-1	-10	15.5	18.7	-3.18	15.2	17.6	-2.38
Rasheed Wallace	62	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	1	-14	16.8	15.3	1.44	16.2	15.0	1.23

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	52	52	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.08	15	-3	18	16.1	15.4	0.69	16.2	16.5	-0.26
Tim Duncan	75	74	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	4	4	15.9	15.8	0.05	16.7	14.7	2.01
Tony Parker	64	65	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.23	3	9	-6	16.5	14.2	2.27	16.5	16.0	0.52
Malik Rose	51	50	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	13	-14	15.9	15.7	0.18	16.2	16.5	-0.36
Bruce Bowen	65	64	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	1	10	14.8	18.7	-3.93	15.3	19.0	-3.76
Antonio Daniels	32	31	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	13	-14	19.3	13.9	5.43	18.3	15.3	3.05
Danny Ferry	30	31	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	10	-8	17.3	15.1	2.23	17.6	15.6	2.01
Steven Smith	53	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.14	12	0	12	14.2	18.2	-3.94	15.7	17.3	-1.60
Jason Hart	26	24	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	3	6	14.2	16.5	-2.27	16.0	16.5	-0.52
Cherokee Parks	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	10	-8	6.0	16.1	-10.07	10.5	16.5	-5.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 90, BOS 118	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
MIA 96, DEN 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
BKN 87, DEN 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%