NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	87		Excitement	7.4 [336]		MVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): +15.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	2.5 [426]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -22.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	6	92%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.00	16	53%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,-0.03,-0.1	0.07	-0.14	0.02	19	58%	-0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.07	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.13	0.00	13	33%	-0.17	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	6	83%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	79%	0.13	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.04
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.16,-0.1,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.08	-0.01	14	45%	0.09	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alvin Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	9	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	12	33%	-0.11	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	26.3	19.6	28.3	2.4	38.3	143.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +30.3%

PHI +22.3%

MIL -22.3%

PHI +20.3%

MIL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	17.1	17.4	15.6	102.4	108.5	102.3
season	15.3	15.9		104.7	99.3
opponent	15.6	16.0		98.2	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.6	18.5	15.8	18.9	17.1
PHI	16.5	19.4	16.9	17.0	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	21	22	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-6	10	15.6	17.6	-2.05	16.6	17.6	-1.01
Tim Thomas	33	33	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-8	14	15.1	18.4	-3.36	18.2	16.8	1.40
Darvin Ham	20	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	1	-4	17.5	17.0	0.57	17.1	17.5	-0.42
Greg Anthony	39	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	2	-6	16.5	17.7	-1.16	16.9	17.8	-0.91
Ray Allen	46	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.35	3	-5	8	18.7	15.3	3.39	17.4	17.4	-0.00
Ervin Johnson	50	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	4	-10	17.6	16.4	1.17	18.4	16.1	2.26
Anthony Mason	77	75	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	1	-4	17.4	14.2	3.17	17.2	19.6	-2.40
Sam Cassell	73	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.43	-3	1	-4	17.4	15.5	1.88	17.0	19.7	-2.78
Glenn Robinson	66	65	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.52	-4	2	-6	16.8	18.3	-1.48	17.6	16.7	0.85

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	64	65	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.53	9	-7	16	17.2	18.2	-1.01	17.8	14.8	3.03
Aaron McKie	47	50	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-6	14	17.3	17.5	-0.24	16.5	18.0	-1.45
Derrick Coleman	66	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	-1	4	17.5	16.8	0.70	17.8	14.9	2.83
Derrick McKey	45	47	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.50	1	1	0	17.6	17.1	0.49	17.4	16.7	0.74
Dikembe Mutombo	53	54	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	-2	6	17.7	16.9	0.80	17.9	15.7	2.27
Raja Bell	35	36	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.09	-2	4	-6	16.9	17.8	-0.91	16.8	17.4	-0.59
Alvin Jones	11	12	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	2	-2	20.6	16.9	3.76	16.5	17.2	-0.72
Matt Harpring	44	45	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	7	-12	17.1	17.7	-0.57	16.8	17.4	-0.58
Corie Blount	23	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	5	-8	16.5	17.7	-1.25	15.3	17.9	-2.61
Vonteego Cummings	22	24	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.10	-5	7	-12	17.4	17.4	-0.02	15.5	17.8	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.73,0.69,0.54,0.76,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 82, PHX 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.45,0.37,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.85,0.96,1	91.7%
CLE 100, PHX 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.64,0.5,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.53,0.63,0.96,0.99,1	91.6%
ORL 83, CLE 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.43,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.86,0.9,1	91.3%