NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	98		Excitement	8.7 [147]		MVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): +8.7%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	2.4 [684]		LVP	Eddy Curry (CHI): -22.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.06	0.05	9	78%	0.15	2	-0.06	5	100%	-0.02
Derrick Dial	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0,0,0.14,0.1,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	16	59%	0.09	2	-0.06	14	79%	0.04
Jerome Williams	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	3	69%	0.05	1	-0.05	7	71%	0.02
Keon Clark	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	9	50%	-0.04	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Jermaine Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Morris Peterson	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	12	42%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	8	22%	-0.11	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.01	0.00	20	69%	0.18	3	-0.09	11	91%	0.08
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	11	50%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Norman Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	7	59%	0.06	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.01	7	59%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	8	47%	-0.00	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.05
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	7	20%	-0.19	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	26.9	15.6	24.6	2.4	43.4	141.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +29.7%

TOR +0.6%

TOR +9.5%

TOR +9.2%

TOR +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	15.9	15.1	15.6	106.5	102.1	102.3
season	16.2	15.6		100.3	96.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.5	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.9	16.0	15.7	16.0	15.9
CHI	14.1	19.2	13.8	14.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Clark	58	61	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.29	18	-16	34	15.1	17.3	-2.23	15.8	13.8	2.00
Antonio Davis	71	71	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.53	1	1	0	15.6	16.9	-1.31	14.2	17.7	-3.51
Alvin Williams	62	64	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.58	-2	4	-6	16.3	15.0	1.37	15.6	13.9	1.69
Morris Peterson	72	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.55	-3	5	-8	16.0	15.5	0.44	14.6	17.2	-2.57
Jerome Williams	42	43	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.52	-10	12	-22	16.5	15.4	1.12	14.3	15.7	-1.44
Chris Childs	58	59	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	-7	16	15.7	16.2	-0.45	15.5	14.4	1.14
Derrick Dial	16	14	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.10	8	-6	14	13.4	16.4	-2.97	15.8	15.0	0.82
Jermaine Jackson	27	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.17	4	-2	6	14.9	16.3	-1.42	15.2	15.1	0.10
Hakeem Olajuwon	26	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.10	0	2	-2	16.7	15.6	1.17	17.2	14.2	3.03
Eric Montross	28	28	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.16	-15	17	-32	18.1	14.9	3.24	13.6	15.7	-2.10

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	52	53	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.13	7	-9	16	14.2	16.2	-1.96	16.1	15.6	0.57
Norman Richardson	10	11	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-2	2	18.5	14.7	3.82	13.5	16.2	-2.66
Marcus Fizer	31	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	0	-2	14.6	15.3	-0.75	15.6	16.0	-0.42
Dalibor Bagaric	18	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	1	-4	17.5	14.5	2.99	15.8	15.9	-0.14
Eddy Curry	45	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.39	8	-10	18	15.1	15.0	0.09	17.5	14.5	3.04
Charles Oakley	24	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	3	-8	14.0	15.5	-1.51	14.7	16.3	-1.59
Travis Best	60	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.41	7	-9	16	14.5	16.1	-1.53	16.1	15.5	0.64
Jamal Crawford	34	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	7	-16	16.1	14.5	1.53	15.5	16.1	-0.64
Tyson Chandler	69	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.40	-2	0	-2	15.0	15.4	-0.43	15.9	15.9	-0.03
Trenton Hassell	47	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	6	-14	15.8	14.3	1.49	15.6	16.1	-0.49
Jalen Rose	80	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.50	-3	1	-4	14.8	16.4	-1.58	15.8	16.4	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.61,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 91, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.3,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.28,0	91.3%
DET 94, CHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.3,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.17,0	91.2%
PHI 93, CHH 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.6,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.45,0.15,0	90.9%